Mets vs Cubs Prediction and MLB Tips - 23 June 2026
Last updated: Jun 22, 2026, 10:46PM | Published: Jun 21, 2026, 6:31PM
The New York Mets will take on the Chicago Cubs in MLB action at Citi Field on Tuesday, commencing at 9:10am AEST.
The Mets will have Kodai Senga (0-5, 9.00 ERA) start, while the Cubs are going with Shota Imanaga (4-6, 4.26 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Cubs game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's NY Mets vs Cubs MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Cubs a 51% chance of beating the Mets at Citi Field.
Mets vs Cubs: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Mets $2.10, Cubs $1.77
- Line: Mets +1.5 ($1.63), Cubs -1.5 ($2.35)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $2.10 and the Cubs at $1.77.
The Mets are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Cubs, with odds of $1.63 available at TAB.
For the favourite Cubs (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.35.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 62% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Mets vs Cubs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.10 with TAB
- Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.63 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These Mets vs Cubs best bets are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Cubs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mets to win is our preferred option due to the 3.5% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 8.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($1.91) that are available from TAB.
Mets vs Cubs: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the NY Mets vs Cubs game on Tuesday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the NY Mets vs Cubs game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Cubs: Essential Details
The match-up between the Mets and Cubs at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 9:10am AEST on Tuesday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs
- Date: Tuesday 23 June 2026
- Time: 9:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Cubs predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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