Mets vs Astros Prediction and MLB Tips - 31 August 2026
Last updated: Aug 30, 2026, 7:08PM | Published: Aug 29, 2026, 7:32PM
The New York Mets will face the Houston Astros in MLB action at Citi Field on Monday, beginning at 5:10am AEST.
The Mets will send Zac Thornton (3-4, 2.88 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Ethan Pecko (0-0, 7.88 ERA) for the Astros.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Astros game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's NY Mets vs Houston MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 54% chance of winning against the Astros at Citi Field.
Mets vs Astros: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.83, Astros $2.10
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.60), Astros +1.5 ($1.53)
- Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.83 and the Astros at $2.10.
The Mets are 1.5-run favourites against the Astros, with odds of $2.60 available at TAB.
For the underdog Astros (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.53.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Astros (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 62% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Mets vs Astros: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.83 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.60 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 9 at $1.91 with TAB
These Mets vs Astros betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting experience to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
Even though the Astros are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Mets vs Astros: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs Houston game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the NY Mets vs Houston match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Astros: Essential Details
The match-up between the Mets and Astros at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 5:10am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Houston Astros
- Date: Monday 31 August 2026
- Time: 5:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Houston predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on MLB
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.
