Mets vs Astros Prediction and MLB Tips - 1 July 2024

The New York Mets will sqaure off with the Houston Astros in MLB action at Citi Field on Monday, starting at 3:40am AEST.

The Mets will have Luis Severino (5-2, 3.29 ERA) start, while the Astros are going with Shawn Dubin (1-1, 5.64 ERA).

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Mets vs Astros game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are detailed below.

Who Will Win: Mets vs Astros

Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's NY Mets-Houston MLB game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 53% chance of defeating the Astros at Citi Field.

More: Mets vs Astros Match Centre

Mets vs Astros: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed below:

• Head to Head: Mets $1.75, Astros $2.05
• Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.50), Astros +1.5 ($1.53)
• Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Mets at $1.75 and the Astros at $2.05.

The Mets are 1.5-run favourites against the Astros, with odds of $2.50 currently available at TAB.

For the underdog Astros (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.53.

The over/under for total runs scored sits at 8.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.91 and odds for the under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Astros (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 53% chance of going Over.

More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports

Mets vs Astros: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Houston at $2.05 with (1.2% edge)
• Line: Astros +1.5 at $1.53 with TAB (64% probability)
• Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Stats Insider's Mets vs Astros predictions are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Astros to win is our preferred option due to the 1.2% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 8.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($1.91) that are available from TAB.

Mets vs Astros: Prediction

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of NY Mets vs Houston on Monday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live scores.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Houston match-up at Citi Field.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Mets vs Astros: Preview

The match-up between the Mets and Astros at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 3:40am AEST on Monday.

• Teams: New York Mets vs Houston Astros
• Date: Monday 1 July 2024
• Time: 3:40am AEST
• Venue: Citi Field

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Our NY Mets vs Houston predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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