Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2025
Last updated: Aug 10, 2025, 5:15AM | Published: Aug 3, 2025, 12:21PM
Melbourne will take on the favoured Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 22 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, beginning at 3:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Bulldogs an 83% chance of defeating the Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Melbourne $3.50, Bulldogs $1.33
- Line: Melbourne +24.5 ($1.91), Bulldogs -24.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 180.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Melbourne at $3.50 and the Bulldogs at $1.33.
The Demons are listed as 24.5-point underdogs against the Bulldogs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Bulldogs (-24.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 180.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bulldogs (-24.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 180.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Bulldogs at $1.33 with Bet365
- Line: Bulldogs -24.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 180.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
These Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday is the Bulldogs winning 101-75.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Melbourne vs Bulldogs: Goal Kickers
Searching for Melbourne vs Bulldogs goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Western's Aaron Naughton is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Melbourne vs Western.
Naughton has an 8.8% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Bulldogs star has a 93.4% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Melbourne
- Kysaiah Pickett: 5.3% probability
- Bayley Fritsch: 5.0% probability
- Jake Melksham: 4.9% probability
- Harrison Petty: 4.0% probability
- Christian Petracca: 3.7% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 8.8% probability
- Sam Darcy: 7.3% probability
- Rhylee West: 5.7% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 4.4% probability
- Lachlan McNeil: 3.7% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Melbourne
- Kysaiah Pickett: 82.4% probability
- Bayley Fritsch: 79.1% probability
- Jake Melksham: 77.4% probability
- Harrison Petty: 69.9% probability
- Christian Petracca: 67.2% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 93.4% probability
- Sam Darcy: 89.0% probability
- Rhylee West: 83.0% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 72.8% probability
- Lachlan McNeil: 67.0% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Melbourne vs Bulldogs game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs: Essential Details
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Demons and Bulldogs at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs
- Date: Sunday 10 August 2025
- Time: 3:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Melbourne vs Bulldogs predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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