Melbourne vs Sydney Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2025

Melbourne will sqaure off with Sydney in AFL Round 11 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, commencing at 3:20pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Melbourne vs Sydney game, plus the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Melbourne vs Sydney AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Swans a 51% chance of defeating the Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

Melbourne vs Sydney: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Melbourne $1.87, Sydney $1.97
  • Line: Melbourne -1.5 ($1.91), Sydney +1.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 167.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Melbourne at $1.87 and Sydney at $1.97.

The Demons are listed as 1.5-point favourites against the Swans, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Swans (+1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 167.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Swans (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 167.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.

Melbourne vs Sydney: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Sydney at $1.97 with Bet365
  • Line: Sydney +1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 167.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Melbourne vs Sydney best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

Melbourne vs Sydney: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs Sydney at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday is Sydney winning 83-82.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Melbourne vs Sydney match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Melbourne vs Sydney match.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Melbourne vs Sydney: Essential Details

The AFL Round 11 clash between the Demons and Swans at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.

  • Teams: Melbourne vs Sydney
  • Date: Sunday 25 May 2025
  • Time: 3:20pm AEST
  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Melbourne vs Sydney predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

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Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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