Melbourne vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2025
Last updated: May 6, 2025, 2:05AM | Published: May 5, 2025, 2:50AM
Melbourne will sqaure off with the favoured Hawthorn in AFL Round 9 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 1:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Melbourne vs Hawthorn game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Melbourne vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 78% chance of beating the Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Melbourne $3.85, Hawthorn $1.27
- Line: Melbourne +23.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn -23.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Melbourne at $3.85 and Hawthorn at $1.27.
The Demons are 23.5-point underdogs against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Hawks (-23.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 169.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Demons (+23.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 169.5-point over/under is expected to go over 62% of the time.
Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.27 with Bet365
- Line: Melbourne +23.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 169.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs Hawthorn at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Hawthorn winning 98-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Melbourne vs Hawthorn match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Melbourne vs Hawthorn match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Demons and Hawks at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 1:20pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Melbourne vs Hawthorn
- Date: Saturday 10 May 2025
- Time: 1:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Melbourne vs Hawthorn predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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