Melbourne vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2025

Melbourne will sqaure off with the favoured Hawthorn in AFL Round 9 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, beginning at 1:20pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Melbourne vs Hawthorn game, as well as the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Melbourne vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 77% chance of defeating the Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:

• Head to Head: Melbourne $4.15, Hawthorn $1.25
• Line: Melbourne +23.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn -23.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Melbourne at $4.15 and Hawthorn at $1.25.

The Demons are listed as 23.5-point underdogs against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Hawks (-23.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 170.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Demons (+23.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 170.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.

Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Melbourne at $4.15 with Bet365
• Line: Melbourne +23.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

These Melbourne vs Hawthorn predictions are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice every time.

While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Demons to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs Hawthorn at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Hawthorn winning 94-74.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Melbourne vs Hawthorn match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free tips.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Melbourne vs Hawthorn match.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Essential Details

The AFL Round 9 clash between the Demons and Hawks at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 1:20pm AEST on Saturday.

• Teams: Melbourne vs Hawthorn
• Date: Saturday 10 May 2025
• Time: 1:20pm AEST
• Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Melbourne vs Hawthorn predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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