Melbourne vs Fremantle Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2026
Last updated: Aug 8, 2026, 3:10AM | Published: Aug 2, 2026, 10:30AM
Melbourne will sqaure off with Fremantle in AFL Round 22 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 1:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Melbourne vs Fremantle game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Melbourne vs Fremantle AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Dockers a 60% chance of winning against the Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Melbourne vs Fremantle: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Melbourne $2.40, Fremantle $1.58
- Line: Melbourne +9.5 ($1.91), Fremantle -9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 178.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Melbourne at $2.40 and Fremantle at $1.58.
The Demons are 9.5-point underdogs against the Dockers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Dockers (-9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 178.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Demons (+9.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 178.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Melbourne vs Fremantle: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Melbourne at $2.40 with Bet365
- Line: Melbourne +9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 178.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Melbourne vs Fremantle betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Dockers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Demons to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Melbourne vs Fremantle: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs Fremantle at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Fremantle winning 91-84.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Melbourne vs Fremantle match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Melbourne vs Fremantle: Goal Scorers
Looking for Melbourne vs Fremantle goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Fremantle's Josh Treacy is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Melbourne vs Fremantle.
Treacy has an 8.5% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Dockers star has a 92.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Melbourne
- Jacob van Rooyen: 7.2% probability
- Bayley Fritsch: 5.2% probability
- Harrison Petty: 5.0% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 4.4% probability
- Matthew Jefferson: 3.9% probability
Fremantle
- Josh Treacy: 8.5% probability
- Jye Amiss: 8.3% probability
- Patrick Voss: 6.9% probability
- Michael Frederick: 4.7% probability
- Luke Jackson: 4.2% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Melbourne
- Jacob van Rooyen: 87.9% probability
- Bayley Fritsch: 78.0% probability
- Harrison Petty: 74.6% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 70.7% probability
- Matthew Jefferson: 66.2% probability
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 92.9% probability
- Josh Treacy: 92.9% probability
- Patrick Voss: 87.9% probability
- Michael Frederick: 71.7% probability
- Luke Jackson: 71.7% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Melbourne vs Fremantle match.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Melbourne vs Fremantle: Essential Details
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Demons and Dockers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 1:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Melbourne vs Fremantle
- Date: Saturday 8 August 2026
- Time: 1:15pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Melbourne vs Fremantle predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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