Melbourne vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2024
Last updated: Jul 13, 2024, 9:02AM | Published: Jul 8, 2024, 1:04AM
Melbourne will face Essendon in AFL Round 18 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Melbourne vs Essendon game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Melbourne vs Essendon
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Melbourne-Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Bombers a 69% chance of defeating the Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Melbourne vs Essendon: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Melbourne $2.60, Essendon $1.62
- Line: Melbourne +10.5 ($1.84), Essendon -10.5 ($2.12)
- Total (Over/Under 157.5 Points): Over $1.98, Under $1.89
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Melbourne at $2.60 and Essendon at $1.62.
The Demons are 10.5-point underdogs against the Bombers, with odds of $1.84 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Bombers (-10.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.12.
The over/under for total points scored has been set at 157.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.98 and odds for the under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (-10.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 157.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going Over.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Melbourne vs Essendon: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $1.62 with Betfair (69% probability) 🔥
- Line: Essendon -10.5 at $2.12 with Betfair (53% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 157.5 at $1.98 with Betfair (52% probability)
Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets for today across all sports.
Stats Insider's Melbourne vs Essendon betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice every time.
Melbourne vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs Essendon at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday has Essendon winning 85-72.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Melbourne vs Essendon on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Melbourne vs Essendon: Goal Scorers
Looking for Melbourne vs Essendon goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Essendon's Kyle Langford is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Melbourne vs Essendon.
Langford has a 6.8% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Bombers star has an 85.1% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 6.2% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 5.7% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 4.8% probability
- Jake Melksham: 4.6% probability
- Harrison Petty: 3.2% probability
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 6.8% probability
- Peter Wright: 6.0% probability
- Jake Stringer: 5.5% probability
- Nate Caddy: 5.0% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 4.1% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 83.6% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 78.3% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 73.5% probability
- Jake Melksham: 70.4% probability
- Harrison Petty: 58.4% probability
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 85.1% probability
- Peter Wright: 80.2% probability
- Jake Stringer: 79.6% probability
- Nate Caddy: 73.2% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 69.8% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Melbourne vs Essendon game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Melbourne vs Essendon: Preview
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Demons and Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Melbourne vs Essendon
- Date: Saturday 13 July 2024
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Melbourne vs Essendon predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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