Melbourne vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 6, 2026
Last updated: Apr 14, 2026, 9:01PM | Published: Apr 12, 2026, 11:26AM
Melbourne will sqaure off with the favoured Brisbane in AFL Round 6 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, starting at 3:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Melbourne vs Brisbane game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Melbourne vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 69% chance of defeating the Demons in Round 6 of the 2026 AFL season.
Melbourne vs Brisbane: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Melbourne $3.75, Brisbane $1.28
- Line: Melbourne +22.5 ($1.91), Brisbane -22.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 188.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Melbourne at $3.75 and Brisbane at $1.28.
The Demons are listed as 22.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Lions (-22.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 188.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Demons (+22.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 188.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Melbourne vs Brisbane: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Melbourne at $3.75 with Bet365
- Line: Melbourne +22.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 188.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best tips of the day across all sports.
Today's Melbourne vs Brisbane betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Demons to win is our preferred option because of the 4.7% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Melbourne vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Melbourne vs Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday is Brisbane prevailing 101-85.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Melbourne vs Brisbane match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Melbourne vs Brisbane match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Melbourne vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Round 6 clash between the Demons and Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 3:15pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Melbourne vs Brisbane
- Date: Sunday 19 April 2026
- Time: 3:15pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Melbourne vs Brisbane predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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