Mavericks vs Heat Prediction and NBA Tips - 4 December 2025
Last updated: Dec 4, 2025, 1:40AM | Published: Dec 3, 2025, 3:09PM
The Dallas Mavericks will face the Miami Heat in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Thursday, starting at 12:30pm AEDT.
Led by the likes of Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg and Ryan Nembhard, the Mavericks are up against a Heat team that includes Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Andrew Wiggins.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Mavericks vs Heat game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Dallas vs Miami NBA match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Heat a 66% chance of beating the Mavericks at American Airlines Center.
Mavericks vs Heat: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NBA game at American Airlines Center are shown here:
- Head to Head: Mavericks $2.55, Heat $1.54
- Line: Mavericks +4.5 ($1.91), Heat -4.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 238.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mavericks at $2.55 and the Heat at $1.54.
The Mavericks are listed as 4.5-point underdogs against the Heat, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Heat (-4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 238.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Heat (-4.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 238.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Mavericks vs Heat: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Miami at $1.54 with Bet365
- Line: Heat -4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 238.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Mavericks vs Heat best bets are based on market-leading simulations and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Mavericks vs Heat: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Mavericks vs Heat at American Airlines Center on Thursday is the Heat winning 120-116.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Dallas vs Miami game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Mavericks vs Heat prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Dallas vs Miami game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mavericks vs Heat: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Mavericks and Heat at American Airlines Center is scheduled to begin at 12:30pm AEDT on Thursday.
- Teams: Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat
- Date: Thursday 4 December 2025
- Time: 12:30pm AEDT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Dallas vs Miami predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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