Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca Prediction - ATP Monte-Carlo Masters 2026
Last updated: Apr 9, 2026, 9:02AM | Published: Apr 8, 2026, 4:53PM
Matteo Berrettini will face Joao Fonseca in the round of 16 at the 2026 ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament on Thursday.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Berrettini vs Fonseca match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Berrettini-Fonseca men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Fonseca a 52% chance of winning against Berrettini at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.
Berrettini vs Fonseca: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's ATP Monte-Carlo Masters match between Berrettini and Fonseca are shown below:
- Head to Head: Berrettini $2.30, Fonseca $1.61
- First Set: Berrettini $2.10, Fonseca $1.72
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Berrettini at $2.30 and Fonseca at $1.61.
TAB currently has odds for Berrettini to win the first set at $2.10 and odds for Fonseca to win the first set at $1.72.
Berrettini vs Fonseca: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Berrettini at $2.30 with TAB
- First Set: Fonseca at $1.83 with TAB (56% probability)
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips for today across any sport.
Today's Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca betting tips are based on detailed modelling and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that Fonseca is more likely to win the match, betting on Berrettini to win is the best option because of the 4.9% edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable over the long run.
And while Fonseca is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Fonseca ($1.83) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Berrettini vs Fonseca: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca match at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Berrettini-Fonseca match at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Berrettini vs Fonseca: ATP Monte-Carlo Masters Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Monte-Carlo Masters match between Matteo Berrettini and Joao Fonseca is scheduled to commence at 7:00pm AEST.
- Match: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca
- Date: Thursday 9 April 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:00pm AEST
- Event: ATP Monte Carlo, Monaco Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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