Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction - ATP Paris Masters 2026
Last updated: Nov 5, 2026, 5:02AM | Published: Nov 4, 2026, 11:53PM
Matteo Berrettini will face Carlos Alcaraz in the round of 16 at the 2026 ATP Paris Masters tournament on Friday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Berrettini vs Alcaraz match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Berrettini-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives Alcaraz an 81% chance of beating Berrettini at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.
Berrettini vs Alcaraz: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's ATP Paris Masters match between Berrettini and Alcaraz are shown here:
- Head to Head: Berrettini $5.50, Alcaraz $1.14
- First Set: Berrettini $4.50, Alcaraz $1.20
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Berrettini at $5.50 and Alcaraz at $1.14.
TAB currently has odds for Berrettini to win the first set at $4.50 and odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.20.
Berrettini vs Alcaraz: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Berrettini at $5.50 with TAB
- First Set: Alcaraz at $1.90 with TAB (50% probability)
Today's Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, taking Berrettini to win is our preferred option due to the edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Using the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Alcaraz ($1.90) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Berrettini vs Alcaraz: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz match at the ATP Paris Masters tournament, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Berrettini-Alcaraz match at the ATP Paris Masters event.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Berrettini vs Alcaraz: ATP Paris Masters Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Paris Masters match between Matteo Berrettini and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT.
- Match: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Date: Friday 6 November 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Event: ATP Paris, France Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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