Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2025
Last updated: Apr 26, 2025, 1:32PM | Published: Apr 25, 2025, 2:08PM
Matteo Arnaldi will face Novak Djokovic in the round of 64 at the 2025 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Saturday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Arnaldi vs Djokovic match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Arnaldi-Djokovic men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives Djokovic a 74% chance of winning against Arnaldi at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Arnaldi vs Djokovic: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's ATP Madrid Open match between Arnaldi and Djokovic are listed below:
- Head to Head: Arnaldi $3.75, Djokovic $1.28
- First Set: Arnaldi $3.20, Djokovic $1.36
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Arnaldi at $3.75 and Djokovic at $1.28.
TAB currently has odds for Arnaldi to win the first set at $3.20 and odds for Djokovic to win the first set at $1.36.
Arnaldi vs Djokovic: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Arnaldi at $3.75 with TAB
- First Set: Djokovic at $2.00 with TAB (0.2% edge)
Today's Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic predictions are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Djokovic is more likely to win the match, taking Arnaldi to win is our preferred option due to the edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable over the long run.
And while Djokovic is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Djokovic ($2.00) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Arnaldi vs Djokovic: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Arnaldi-Djokovic match at the ATP Madrid Open event.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Arnaldi vs Djokovic: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Madrid Open match between Matteo Arnaldi and Novak Djokovic is scheduled to begin at 11:30pm AEST.
- Match: Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic
- Date: Saturday 26 April 2025
- Approx. Time: 11:30pm AEST
- Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on Tennis
Stats Insider is your home for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, tips for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.
