Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2026
Last updated: Apr 23, 2026, 2:56PM | Published: Apr 21, 2026, 11:16PM
Marco Trungelliti will sqaure off with Daniel Merida in the round of 128 at the 2026 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Friday.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Trungelliti vs Merida match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Trungelliti-Merida men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives Merida a 54% chance of defeating Trungelliti at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Trungelliti vs Merida: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's ATP Madrid Open match between Trungelliti and Merida are listed here:
- Head to Head: Trungelliti $2.20, Merida $1.66
- First Set: Trungelliti $2.10, Merida $1.72
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Trungelliti at $2.20 and Merida at $1.66.
TAB currently has odds for Trungelliti to win the first set at $2.10 and odds for Merida to win the first set at $1.72.
Trungelliti vs Merida: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Trungelliti at $2.20 with TAB
- First Set: Merida at $1.83 with TAB (55% probability)
Today's Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida best bets are based on market-leading simulations and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Even though our predictive analytics model indicates that Merida is more likely to win the match, taking Trungelliti to win is the best option because of the edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Using the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.
And while Merida is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Merida ($1.83) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Trungelliti vs Merida: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Trungelliti-Merida match at the ATP Madrid Open event.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Trungelliti vs Merida: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Madrid Open match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida is scheduled to start at 1:00am AEST.
- Match: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida
- Date: Friday 24 April 2026
- Approx. Time: 1:00am AEST
- Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on Tennis
Stats Insider is your home for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, tips for every tennis match, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

