Maple Leafs vs Sabres Prediction and NHL Tips - 5 November 2023
Last updated: Nov 4, 2023, 11:09PM | Published: Nov 3, 2023, 10:09PM
The Toronto Maple Leafs play the Buffalo Sabres in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, commencing at 10:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Maple Leafs vs Sabres, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Maple Leafs vs Sabres
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Toronto-Buffalo NHL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 64% chance of winning against the Sabres at Scotiabank Arena.
More: Maple Leafs vs Sabres Simulated 10,000 Times
Maple Leafs vs Sabres: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL game at Scotiabank Arena are listed here:
- Head to Head: Maple Leafs $1.46, Sabres $2.85
- Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 ($2.10), Sabres +1.5 ($1.77)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.77, Under $2.15
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Maple Leafs at $1.46. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Sabres at $2.85.
The Maple Leafs are 1.5-goal favourites against the Sabres, with odds of $2.10 currently available at bet365.
For the underdog Sabres (+1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.77.
The Over/Under for Maple Leafs vs Sabres has been set at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.77, while bet365 currently has odds for the Under at $2.15.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Maple Leafs vs Sabres: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Buffalo at $2.85 with PointsBet (0.7% edge)
- Line: Sabres +1.5 at $1.77 with PointsBet (57% probability)
- Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.15 with bet365 (2.4% edge)
These Maple Leafs vs Sabres betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Maple Leafs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Sabres to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 6.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.15) that are available from bet365.
Maple Leafs vs Sabres: Prediction
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Toronto vs Buffalo on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Maple Leafs vs Sabres: Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Sabres? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Sabres.
Matthews has a 10.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 52.9% chance of registering an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 10.8% probability
- William Nylander: 8.2% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 6.3% probability
- John Tavares: 5.9% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 5.2% probability
Sabres First Goal Scorer Tips
- Tage Thompson: 7.5% probability
- Jeff Skinner: 6.2% probability
- Alex Tuch: 5.7% probability
- Casey Mittelstadt: 3.4% probability
- Victor Olofsson: 3.1% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 52.9% probability
- William Nylander: 38.6% probability
- John Tavares: 32.1% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 31.0% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 28.4% probability
Sabres Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Tage Thompson: 41.5% probability
- Jeff Skinner: 33.1% probability
- Alex Tuch: 31.2% probability
- Casey Mittelstadt: 20.1% probability
- Victor Olofsson: 19.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Toronto vs Buffalo match-up at Scotiabank Arena.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Maple Leafs vs Sabres: Preview
The match-up between the Maple Leafs and Sabres at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres
- Date: Sunday 5 November 2023
- Time: 10:00am AEDT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Toronto vs Buffalo are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NHL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NHL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, predictions for every NHL game, and futures odds for the NHL.