Maple Leafs vs Oilers Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 12 March 2023

Mar 11, 2023, 12:21AM

The Toronto Maple Leafs take on the Edmonton Oilers in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, beginning at 11:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for Maple Leafs vs Oilers, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who will win? Maple Leafs vs Oilers

Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Maple Leafs-Oilers NHL game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 53% chance of getting the W against the Oilers at Scotiabank Arena.

More: Maple Leafs vs Oilers Simulated 10K Times

Toronto vs Edmonton Betting Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL game at Scotiabank Arena are shown below:

Head to Head: Maple Leafs $1.80, Oilers $2.05
Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 ($2.80), Oilers +1.5 ($1.47)
Total (Over/Under 7 Goals): Over $2.05, Under $1.80

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Maple Leafs to win at $1.80 and the Oilers to win at $2.05.

The Maple Leafs are listed as 1.5-goal favourites against the Oilers, with odds of $2.80 currently available at bet365.

For the underdog Oilers (+1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.47.

The Over/Under for Maple Leafs vs Oilers sits at 7 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.05, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $1.80.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Oilers (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 7 goals has a 53% chance of staying Under.

More: Live Scores for All Sports

Maple Leafs vs Oilers Best Bets

Head to Head: Oilers at $2.05 with PointsBet
Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 at $2.80 with bet365
Total Goals: Under 7 at $1.80 with PointsBet (53% probability)

Stats Insider's Maple Leafs vs Oilers predictions are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.

And while the Maple Leafs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Oilers to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the PointsBet odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Although the Oilers are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Maple Leafs -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.

Maple Leafs vs Oilers Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Toronto vs Edmonton on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Maple Leafs vs Oilers Player Props

Are you looking for Maple Leafs vs Oilers try scorers? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Oilers.

Matthews has a 10.2% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 51.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips

Auston Matthews: 10.2% probability
Mitch Marner: 6.9% probability
William Nylander: 6.7% probability
John Tavares: 6.0% probability
Michael Bunting: 4.7% probability

Oilers First Goal Scorer Tips

Leon Draisaitl: 8.7% probability
Connor McDavid: 8.5% probability
Zach Hyman: 4.8% probability
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: 4.3% probability
Kailer Yamamoto: 3.6% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Auston Matthews: 51.3% probability
Mitch Marner: 37.3% probability
William Nylander: 36.5% probability
John Tavares: 31.1% probability
Michael Bunting: 24.8% probability

Oilers Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Leon Draisaitl: 45.8% probability
Connor McDavid: 43.3% probability
Zach Hyman: 27.9% probability
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: 24.3% probability
Kailer Yamamoto: 20.6% probability

Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Toronto vs Edmonton match-up at Scotiabank Arena.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Maple Leafs vs Oilers NHL 2023

The game between the Maple Leafs and Oilers at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 11:00am AEDT on Sunday.

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers
Date: Sunday 12 March 2023
Time: 11:00am AEDT
Venue: Scotiabank Arena

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.