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Maple Leafs vs Lightning Prediction and NHL Tips - 7 November 2023

The Toronto Maple Leafs square off with the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 11:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for Maple Leafs vs Lightning, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Maple Leafs vs Lightning

Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Tuesday's Toronto-Tampa Bay NHL match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 56% chance of winning against the Lightning at Scotiabank Arena.

More: Maple Leafs vs Lightning Match Centre

Maple Leafs vs Lightning: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NHL game at Scotiabank Arena are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Maple Leafs $1.67, Lightning $2.30
  • Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 ($2.65), Lightning +1.5 ($1.56)
  • Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.74, Under $2.20

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Maple Leafs at $1.67. Meanwhile, bet365 currently has the Lightning at $2.30.

The Maple Leafs are listed as 1.5-goal favourites against the Lightning, with odds of $2.65 currently available at bet365.

For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.56.

The Over/Under for Maple Leafs vs Lightning sits at 6.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.74, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $2.20.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.

More: Live Scores for All Sports

Maple Leafs vs Lightning: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $2.30 with bet365 (0.8% edge)
  • Line: Lightning +1.5 at $1.56 with PointsBet (66% probability)
  • Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.20 with PointsBet (51% probability) 🔥

When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across any sport.

Stats Insider's Maple Leafs vs Lightning betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Maple Leafs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Lightning to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a punter.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning: Prediction

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Toronto vs Tampa Bay on Tuesday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live scores.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning: Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs Lightning? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Lightning.

Matthews has a 10.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 51.7% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Auston Matthews: 10.8% probability
  • William Nylander: 6.4% probability
  • John Tavares: 5.8% probability
  • Mitchell Marner: 5.2% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 4.6% probability

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Brayden Point: 6.4% probability
  • Steven Stamkos: 5.7% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 5.5% probability
  • Brandon Hagel: 4.7% probability
  • Nick Paul: 3.5% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Auston Matthews: 51.7% probability
  • William Nylander: 36.2% probability
  • John Tavares: 33.2% probability
  • Mitchell Marner: 31.0% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 25.9% probability

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Brayden Point: 34.8% probability
  • Steven Stamkos: 33.5% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 30.3% probability
  • Brandon Hagel: 26.5% probability
  • Nick Paul: 22.3% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Toronto vs Tampa Bay game at Scotiabank Arena.

As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning: Preview

The match-up between the Maple Leafs and Lightning at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 11:00am AEDT on Tuesday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our predictions for Toronto vs Tampa Bay have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NHL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, tips for every NHL game, and futures odds for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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