Maple Leafs vs Lightning Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 19 April 2023
Apr 15, 2023, 2:21PM
The Toronto Maple Leafs take on the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday, starting at 9:30am AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Maple Leafs vs Lightning, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who will win? Maple Leafs vs Lightning
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Wednesday's Toronto-Tampa Bay NHL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 57% chance of winning against the Lightning at Scotiabank Arena.
More: Maple Leafs vs Lightning Simulated 10K Times
Toronto vs Tampa Bay Current Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's NHL game at Scotiabank Arena are shown below:
- Head to Head: Maple Leafs $1.62, Lightning $2.45
- Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 ($2.70), Lightning +1.5 ($1.54)
- Total (Over/Under 6 Goals): Over $2.00, Under $1.83
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Maple Leafs to win at $1.62. Meanwhile, bet365 currently has the Lightning to win at $2.45.
The Maple Leafs are listed as 1.5-goal favourites against the Lightning, with odds of $2.70 currently available at PointsBet.
For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.54.
The Over/Under for total goals scored has been set at 6 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.83.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6 goals has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Maple Leafs vs Lightning Best Bets
- Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $2.45 with bet365 (1.8% edge)
- Line: Lightning +1.5 at $1.54 with bet365 (64% probability)
- Total Goals: Over 6 at $2.00 with PointsBet (51% probability)
Stats Insider's Maple Leafs vs Lightning predictions are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice every time.
While the Maple Leafs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Lightning to win is our recommended option due to the 1.8% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the bet365 odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Maple Leafs vs Lightning Prediction
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Toronto vs Tampa Bay on Wednesday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Maple Leafs vs Lightning Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Lightning? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Lightning.
Matthews has a 10.2% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 47.0% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 10.2% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 6.5% probability
- John Tavares: 5.7% probability
- William Nylander: 5.7% probability
- Michael Bunting: 4.4% probability
Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips
- Steven Stamkos: 7.6% probability
- Brayden Point: 6.8% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 6.3% probability
- Alex Killorn: 4.5% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 3.7% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 47.0% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 31.0% probability
- William Nylander: 29.4% probability
- John Tavares: 28.3% probability
- Michael Bunting: 24.1% probability
Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Steven Stamkos: 36.3% probability
- Brayden Point: 35.3% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 32.3% probability
- Alex Killorn: 23.7% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 19.6% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Toronto vs Tampa Bay game at Scotiabank Arena.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NHL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Maple Leafs vs Lightning NHL 2023
The match-up between the Maple Leafs and Lightning at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:30am AEST on Wednesday.
- Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Wednesday 19 April 2023
- Time: 9:30am AEST
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
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