Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 19 February 2023
Feb 17, 2023, 8:09PM
The Toronto Maple Leafs take on the Montreal Canadiens in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, commencing at 11:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Maple Leafs vs Canadiens, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who will win? Maple Leafs vs Canadiens
Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Canadiens-Maple Leafs NHL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 74% chance of beating the Canadiens at Scotiabank Arena.
More: Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Simulated 10K Times
Toronto vs Montreal NHL Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL clash at Scotiabank Arena are shown below:
- Head to Head: Maple Leafs $1.22, Canadiens $4.50
- Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 ($1.62), Canadiens +1.5 ($2.40)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Maple Leafs to win at $1.22 and the Canadiens to win at $4.50.
The Maple Leafs are listed as 1.5-goal favourites against the Canadiens, with odds of $1.62 currrently available at bet365.
For the underdog Canadiens (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $2.40.
The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Maple Leafs (-1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Canadiens at $4.50 with bet365 (3.6% edge)
- Line: Canadiens +1.5 at 2.40 with bet365 (5.3% edge) 🔥
- Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (52% probability)
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets for today across any sport.
These Maple Leafs vs Canadiens predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
And while the Maple Leafs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Canadiens to win is our recommended option because of the 3.6% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Even though the Maple Leafs are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Canadiens +1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens NHL Best Bets
Click or tap on See Matchup for more.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Toronto vs Montreal on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Canadiens? The data is in.
The most likely first goalscorer and most likely anytime goalscorer for both the Maple Leafs and Canadiens are listed below.
According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs Canadiens.
Matthews has a 12.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 56.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 12.6% probability
- William Nylander: 7.3% probability
- Mitch Marner: 6.7% probability
- John Tavares: 6.2% probability
- Michael Bunting: 6.0% probability
Canadiens First Goal Scorer Tips
- Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 7.9% probability
- Josh Anderson: 3.7% probability
- Nick Suzuki: 3.6% probability
- Mike Hoffman: 3.6% probability
- Evgenii Dadonov: 3.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 56.1% probability
- William Nylander: 36.6% probability
- Mitch Marner: 35.5% probability
- John Tavares: 32.9% probability
- Michael Bunting: 31.1% probability
Canadiens Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 40.1% probability
- Evgenii Dadonov: 20.0% probability
- Josh Anderson: 19.9% probability
- Nick Suzuki: 19.4% probability
- Mike Hoffman: 18.8% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest expert analysis before the Toronto vs Montreal game at Scotiabank Arena.
As always, see Stats Insider's Value Summary to get betting tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens NHL 2023
The match-up between the Maple Leafs and Canadiens at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 11:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens
- Date: Sunday 19 February 2023
- Time: 11:00am AEDT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
All dates and times mentioned in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
More About NHL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, tips for every NHL game, and futures odds for the NHL.
