Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction and Tips - 28 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 27, 2025, 1:56PM | Published: Sep 14, 2025, 1:25AM
Manchester City will take on Burnley in Premier League action at Etihad Stadium on Sunday, starting at 12:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Manchester City vs Burnley game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Manchester City vs Burnley Premier League match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives Manchester City a 77.2% chance of winning, Burnley an 8.3% chance of winning, and the draw a 14.5% chance of happening.
Manchester City vs Burnley: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Sunday's Premier League clash at Etihad Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Manchester City $1.17, Burnley $15.00, Draw $7.50
- Total (Over/Under 2.5 Goals): Over $1.50, Under $2.62
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Manchester City at $1.17 and Burnley at $15.00.
Lastly, Bet365 currently has odds of $7.50 for a draw if you think the score will be all square after 90 minutes.
The over/under for total goals scored is set at 2.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.50 for the over and $2.62 for the under.
Manchester City vs Burnley: Best Bets
Stats Insider's Manchester City vs Burnley best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Betting on Burnley to win is the best option due to the 1.6% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability when punting on sports.
Despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 2.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.62) that are available from Bet365.
Manchester City vs Burnley: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Manchester City vs Burnley match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Manchester City vs Burnley game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every Premier League match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Manchester City vs Burnley: Essential Details
The Premier League match-up between Manchester City and Burnley at Etihad Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:00am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Manchester City vs Burnley
- Date: Sunday 28 September 2025
- Time: 12:00am AEST
- Venue: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Manchester City vs Burnley predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our Premier League tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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