Luca Nardi vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction - ATP Cincinnati Open 2025
Last updated: Aug 14, 2025, 12:31AM | Published: Aug 13, 2025, 11:33PM
Luca Nardi will face Carlos Alcaraz in the round of 16 at the 2025 ATP Cincinnati Open tournament on Thursday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Nardi vs Alcaraz match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Nardi-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives Alcaraz an 81% chance of winning against Nardi at the ATP Cincinnati Open tournament.
Nardi vs Alcaraz: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's ATP Cincinnati Open match between Nardi and Alcaraz are shown here:
- Head to Head: Nardi $11.00, Alcaraz $1.05
- First Set: Nardi $6.50, Alcaraz $1.11
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Nardi at $11.00 and Alcaraz at $1.05.
TAB currently has odds for Nardi to win the first set at $6.50 and odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.11.
Nardi vs Alcaraz: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Nardi at $11.00 with TAB
- First Set: Alcaraz at $1.61 with TAB (62% probability) 🔥
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
Stats Insider's Luca Nardi vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions are based on detailed modelling and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, taking Nardi to win is the best option due to the 10.8% edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor over the long run.
And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Alcaraz ($1.61) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Nardi vs Alcaraz: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Luca Nardi vs Carlos Alcaraz match at the ATP Cincinnati Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Nardi-Alcaraz match at the ATP Cincinnati Open tournament.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Nardi vs Alcaraz: ATP Cincinnati Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Cincinnati Open match between Luca Nardi and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to start at 10:15am AEST.
- Match: Luca Nardi vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Date: Thursday 14 August 2025
- Approx. Time: 10:15am AEST
- Event: ATP Cincinnati, USA Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Luca Nardi vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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