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Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction - ATP Monte-Carlo Masters 2025

Lorenzo Musetti will take on Carlos Alcaraz in the final at the 2025 ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament on Sunday.

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Musetti vs Alcaraz match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Musetti-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives Alcaraz a 74% chance of winning against Musetti at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.

Musetti vs Alcaraz: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's ATP Monte-Carlo Masters match between Musetti and Alcaraz are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Musetti $4.50, Alcaraz $1.20
  • First Set: Musetti $3.75, Alcaraz $1.28

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Musetti at $4.50 and Alcaraz at $1.20.

TAB currently has odds for Musetti to win the first set at $3.75 and odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.28.

Musetti vs Alcaraz: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Musetti at $4.50 with TAB
  • First Set: Alcaraz at $1.90 with TAB (52% probability)

If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips for today across any sport.

These Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, betting on Musetti to win is our preferred option because of the 5.1% edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.

Using the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Alcaraz ($1.90) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.

Musetti vs Alcaraz: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz match at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Musetti-Alcaraz match at the ATP Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Musetti vs Alcaraz: ATP Monte-Carlo Masters Essential Details

The 2025 ATP Monte-Carlo Masters match between Lorenzo Musetti and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to commence at 8:00pm AEST.

  • Match: Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz
  • Date: Sunday 13 April 2025
  • Approx. Time: 8:00pm AEST
  • Event: ATP Monte Carlo, Monaco Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Final

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on Tennis

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, predictions for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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