Lions vs Steelers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2025
Last updated: Dec 21, 2025, 9:25PM | Published: Dec 14, 2025, 5:00AM
The Detroit Lions will face the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 16 action at Ford Field on Monday, commencing at 8:25am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Lions vs Steelers game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Detroit vs Pittsburgh NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 72% chance of defeating the Steelers in Week 16 of the NFL season.
Lions vs Steelers: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Ford Field are shown below:
- Head to Head: Lions $1.25, Steelers $4.20
- Line: Lions -7.5 ($1.91), Steelers +7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 52 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Lions at $1.25 and the Steelers at $4.20.
The Lions are 7.5-point favourites against the Steelers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Steelers (+7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 52 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Lions and the Steelers have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 52-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Lions vs Steelers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $4.20 with Bet365
- Line: Steelers +7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 52 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Lions vs Steelers betting tips are based on complex modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Steelers to win is our recommended option due to the 3.7% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Lions vs Steelers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Lions vs Steelers at Ford Field in Week 16 is the Lions winning 29-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Detroit vs Pittsburgh game in Week 16, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Lions vs Steelers prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Lions vs Steelers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs Steelers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs is the most likely player to score the first TD in Lions vs Steelers.
Gibbs has a 17.4% chance of getting in for six first at Ford Field, while the Lions RB has a 66.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions First TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 17.4% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 11.2% probability
- David Montgomery: 8.7% probability
- Jameson Williams: 7.5% probability
- Isaac TeSlaa: 2.9% probability
Steelers First TD Tips
- Kenneth Gainwell: 8.9% probability
- DK Metcalf: 7.2% probability
- Jaylen Warren: 7.0% probability
- Pat Freiermuth: 3.4% probability
- Darnell Washington: 3.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 66.8% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 51.0% probability
- David Montgomery: 42.4% probability
- Jameson Williams: 37.9% probability
- Isaac TeSlaa: 16.8% probability
Steelers Anytime TD Tips
- Kenneth Gainwell: 42.8% probability
- DK Metcalf: 36.6% probability
- Jaylen Warren: 35.6% probability
- Pat Freiermuth: 19.2% probability
- Darnell Washington: 17.3% probability
Lions-Steelers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 264 passing yards. The Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is expected to throw for 233 yards.
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 264 projected passing yards
Steelers Starting QB
- Aaron Rodgers: 233 projected passing yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 77 projected yards
- David Montgomery: 37 projected yards
- Sione Vaki: 4 projected yards
Steelers Rushing Yards
- Jaylen Warren: 45 projected yards
- Kenneth Gainwell: 34 projected yards
- Aaron Rodgers: 4 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 91 projected yards
- Jameson Williams: 72 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 43 projected yards
- Isaac TeSlaa: 17 projected yards
- Kalif Raymond: 14 projected yards
Steelers Receiving Yards
- DK Metcalf: 66 projected yards
- Kenneth Gainwell: 30 projected yards
- Darnell Washington: 28 projected yards
- Pat Freiermuth: 24 projected yards
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 19 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Detroit vs Pittsburgh match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Lions vs Steelers: Week 16 Essential Details
The NFL Week 16 game between the Lions and Steelers at Ford Field is scheduled to start at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers
- Date: Monday 22 December 2025
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: Ford Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Detroit vs Pittsburgh predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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