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Lions vs Cowboys Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 14, 2025

The Detroit Lions will sqaure off with the Dallas Cowboys in NFL Week 14 action at Ford Field on Friday, commencing at 12:15pm AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Lions vs Cowboys game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Detroit vs Dallas NFL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 61% chance of beating the Cowboys at Ford Field.

Lions vs Cowboys: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at Ford Field are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Lions $1.53, Cowboys $2.60
  • Line: Lions -3.5 ($1.91), Cowboys +3.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 55.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Lions at $1.53 and the Cowboys at $2.60.

The Lions are 3.5-point favourites against the Cowboys, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Cowboys (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 55.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Lions and the Cowboys have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 55.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.

Lions vs Cowboys: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Dallas at $2.60 with Bet365
  • Line: Cowboys +3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 55.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Our Lions vs Cowboys predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cowboys to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Lions vs Cowboys: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Lions vs Cowboys at Ford Field in Week 14 is the Lions winning 29-25.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Detroit vs Dallas game in Week 14, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Lions vs Cowboys: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs Cowboys? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Lions vs Cowboys.

Gibbs has a 14.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Ford Field, while the Lions RB has a 65.3% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Lions First TD Tips

  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 14.9% probability
  • David Montgomery: 8.8% probability
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 8.0% probability
  • Jameson Williams: 7.1% probability
  • Isaac TeSlaa: 3.4% probability

Cowboys First TD Tips

  • Javonte Williams: 10.8% probability
  • CeeDee Lamb: 8.4% probability
  • George Pickens: 8.0% probability
  • Jake Ferguson: 6.2% probability
  • KaVontae Turpin: 2.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Lions Anytime TD Tips

  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 65.3% probability
  • David Montgomery: 46.3% probability
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 43.3% probability
  • Jameson Williams: 39.4% probability
  • Isaac TeSlaa: 21.4% probability

Cowboys Anytime TD Tips

  • Javonte Williams: 52.0% probability
  • CeeDee Lamb: 43.4% probability
  • George Pickens: 42.1% probability
  • Jake Ferguson: 34.2% probability
  • KaVontae Turpin: 13.7% probability

Lions-Cowboys Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 258 passing yards. The Cowboys' Dak Prescott is expected to throw for 281 yards.

Lions Starting QB

  • Jared Goff: 258 projected passing yards

Cowboys Starting QB

  • Dak Prescott: 281 projected passing yards

Lions Rushing Yards

  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 88 projected yards
  • David Montgomery: 40 projected yards
  • Jameson Williams: 5 projected yards

Cowboys Rushing Yards

  • Javonte Williams: 71 projected yards
  • Malik Davis: 14 projected yards
  • Dak Prescott: 12 projected yards

Lions Receiving Yards

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 71 projected yards
  • Jameson Williams: 66 projected yards
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 38 projected yards
  • Isaac TeSlaa: 26 projected yards
  • Ross Dwelley: 19 projected yards

Cowboys Receiving Yards

  • CeeDee Lamb: 89 projected yards
  • George Pickens: 87 projected yards
  • Jake Ferguson: 42 projected yards
  • KaVontae Turpin: 20 projected yards
  • Ryan Flournoy: 19 projected yards

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Detroit vs Dallas game.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Lions vs Cowboys: Week 14 Essential Details

The NFL Week 14 match-up between the Lions and Cowboys at Ford Field is scheduled to start at 12:15pm AEDT on Friday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Detroit vs Dallas predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.

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Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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