Lions vs Cowboys Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 14, 2025
Last updated: Dec 4, 2025, 3:20AM | Published: Nov 28, 2025, 8:51AM
The Detroit Lions will take on the Dallas Cowboys in NFL Week 14 action at Ford Field on Friday, beginning at 12:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Lions vs Cowboys game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Detroit vs Dallas NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 60% chance of defeating the Cowboys at Ford Field.
Lions vs Cowboys: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at Ford Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Lions $1.61, Cowboys $2.40
- Line: Lions -3 ($1.91), Cowboys +3 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 54.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Lions at $1.61 and the Cowboys at $2.40.
The Lions are 3-point favourites against the Cowboys, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Cowboys (+3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 54.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Lions and the Cowboys have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 54.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Lions vs Cowboys: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Dallas at $2.40 with Bet365
- Line: Cowboys +3 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 54.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Lions vs Cowboys best bets are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cowboys to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Lions vs Cowboys: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Lions vs Cowboys at Ford Field in Week 14 is the Lions winning 28-25.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Detroit vs Dallas game in Week 14, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Lions vs Cowboys: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Lions vs Cowboys? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs is the most likely player to score the first TD in Lions vs Cowboys.
Gibbs has a 13.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Ford Field, while the Lions RB has a 64.8% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions First TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 13.7% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 8.0% probability
- David Montgomery: 7.9% probability
- Jameson Williams: 7.6% probability
- Isaac TeSlaa: 4.3% probability
Cowboys First TD Tips
- Javonte Williams: 11.0% probability
- George Pickens: 7.9% probability
- CeeDee Lamb: 7.8% probability
- Jake Ferguson: 6.0% probability
- KaVontae Turpin: 2.2% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 64.8% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 45.8% probability
- David Montgomery: 45.5% probability
- Jameson Williams: 44.2% probability
- Isaac TeSlaa: 27.9% probability
Cowboys Anytime TD Tips
- Javonte Williams: 53.5% probability
- George Pickens: 42.2% probability
- CeeDee Lamb: 42.0% probability
- Jake Ferguson: 34.1% probability
- KaVontae Turpin: 14.0% probability
Lions-Cowboys Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 252 passing yards, while the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is expected to throw for 274 yards.
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 252 projected passing yards
Cowboys Starting QB
- Dak Prescott: 274 projected passing yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 83 projected yards
- David Montgomery: 38 projected yards
- Sione Vaki: 4 projected yards
Cowboys Rushing Yards
- Javonte Williams: 72 projected yards
- Malik Davis: 12 projected yards
- Dak Prescott: 12 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Jameson Williams: 84 projected yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 60 projected yards
- Isaac TeSlaa: 42 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 39 projected yards
- Tom Kennedy: 34 projected yards
Cowboys Receiving Yards
- CeeDee Lamb: 86 projected yards
- George Pickens: 84 projected yards
- Jake Ferguson: 42 projected yards
- KaVontae Turpin: 22 projected yards
- Ryan Flournoy: 19 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Detroit vs Dallas game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Lions vs Cowboys: Week 14 Essential Details
The NFL Week 14 game between the Lions and Cowboys at Ford Field is scheduled to start at 12:15pm AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys
- Date: Friday 5 December 2025
- Time: 12:15pm AEDT
- Venue: Ford Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Detroit vs Dallas predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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