Lions vs Browns Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2025
Last updated: Sep 28, 2025, 5:03PM | Published: Sep 21, 2025, 4:01AM
The Detroit Lions will face the Cleveland Browns in NFL Week 4 action at Ford Field on Monday, beginning at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Lions vs Browns game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Detroit vs Cleveland NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions an 80% chance of defeating the Browns at Ford Field.
Lions vs Browns: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Ford Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Lions $1.17, Browns $5.25
- Line: Lions -10 ($1.91), Browns +10 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Lions at $1.17 and the Browns at $5.25.
The Lions are listed as 10-point favourites against the Browns, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Browns (+10) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Browns (+10) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 44.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Lions vs Browns: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Cleveland at $5.25 with Bet365
- Line: Browns +10 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Lions vs Browns best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Browns to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Lions vs Browns: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Lions vs Browns at Ford Field in Week 4 is the Lions prevailing 26-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Detroit vs Cleveland game in Week 4, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Lions vs Browns prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Lions vs Browns: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs Browns? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs is the most likely player to score the first TD in Lions vs Browns.
Gibbs has a 15.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Ford Field, while the Lions RB has a 59.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions First TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 15.5% probability
- David Montgomery: 11.5% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 9.7% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 6.2% probability
- Jameson Williams: 5.9% probability
Browns First TD Tips
- Quinshon Judkins: 9.4% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 4.9% probability
- Cedric Tillman: 4.7% probability
- David Njoku: 4.6% probability
- Harold Fannin: 4.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 59.9% probability
- David Montgomery: 49.2% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 43.5% probability
- Sam LaPorta: 30.7% probability
- Jameson Williams: 29.4% probability
Browns Anytime TD Tips
- Quinshon Judkins: 41.4% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 24.5% probability
- Cedric Tillman: 23.6% probability
- David Njoku: 23.3% probability
- Harold Fannin: 20.3% probability
Lions-Browns Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected for 236 passing yards, while the Browns' Joe Flacco is expected to throw for 243 yards.
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 236 projected passing yards
Browns Starting QB
- Joe Flacco: 243 projected passing yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 70 projected yards
- David Montgomery: 52 projected yards
- Jameson Williams: 4 projected yards
Browns Rushing Yards
- Quinshon Judkins: 62 projected yards
- Jerome Ford: 13 projected yards
- Dylan Sampson: 12 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 73 projected yards
- Jameson Williams: 48 projected yards
- Sam LaPorta: 43 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 30 projected yards
- Isaac TeSlaa: 17 projected yards
Browns Receiving Yards
- Jerry Jeudy: 55 projected yards
- Cedric Tillman: 41 projected yards
- David Njoku: 40 projected yards
- Harold Fannin: 36 projected yards
- Jerome Ford: 16 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Detroit vs Cleveland game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Lions vs Browns: Week 4 Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 match-up between the Lions and Browns at Ford Field is scheduled to begin at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns
- Date: Monday 29 September 2025
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Ford Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Detroit vs Cleveland predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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