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Lightning vs Penguins Prediction and NHL Tips - 1 December 2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning face the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Friday, beginning at 11:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for Lightning vs Penguins, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Lightning vs Penguins

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Tampa Bay-Pittsburgh NHL match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 55% chance of winning against the Penguins at Amalie Arena.

More: Lightning vs Penguins Simulated 10K Times

Lightning vs Penguins: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Lightning $1.74, Penguins $2.15
  • Line: Lightning -1.5 ($2.75), Penguins +1.5 ($1.48)
  • Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.87, Under $2.10

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Lightning at $1.74. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Penguins at $2.15.

The Lightning are 1.5-goal favourites against the Penguins, with odds of $2.75 currently on offer at PointsBet.

For the underdog Penguins (+1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.48.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.87, while PointsBet currently has odds for the Under at $2.10.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of staying Under.

More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports

Lightning vs Penguins: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.15 with PointsBet
  • Line: Penguins +1.5 at $1.48 with PointsBet (66% probability)
  • Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.10 with PointsBet (52% probability) 🔥

Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips for today across any sport.

These Lightning vs Penguins predictions are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Penguins to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Lightning vs Penguins: Prediction

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh on Friday, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Lightning vs Penguins: Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs Penguins? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Penguins.

Point has an 8.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star has a 40.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Brayden Point: 8.4% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 7.3% probability
  • Steven Stamkos: 7.3% probability
  • Brandon Hagel: 6.8% probability
  • Nick Paul: 4.6% probability

Penguins First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Sidney Crosby: 6.9% probability
  • Jake Guentzel: 6.2% probability
  • Evgeni Malkin: 5.0% probability
  • Bryan Rust: 4.6% probability
  • Reilly Smith: 4.4% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Brayden Point: 40.3% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 36.9% probability
  • Steven Stamkos: 34.2% probability
  • Brandon Hagel: 33.1% probability
  • Nick Paul: 23.8% probability

Penguins Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Sidney Crosby: 34.7% probability
  • Jake Guentzel: 32.8% probability
  • Bryan Rust: 28.1% probability
  • Evgeni Malkin: 27.6% probability
  • Reilly Smith: 25.3% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh game at Amalie Arena.

As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Lightning vs Penguins: Preview

The game between the Lightning and Penguins at Amalie Arena is scheduled to start at 11:00am AEDT on Friday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

Our predictions for Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our NHL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NHL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, predictions for every NHL game, and futures odds for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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