Lightning vs Penguins Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 3 March 2023

Mar 1, 2023, 9:21PM

The Tampa Bay Lightning play the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Friday, starting at 11:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for Lightning vs Penguins, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed below.

Who will win? Lightning vs Penguins

Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Lightning-Penguins NHL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 59% chance of beating the Penguins at Amalie Arena.

More: Full Betting Analysis for Lightning vs Penguins

Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh Latest Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are shown here:

Head to Head: Lightning $1.62, Penguins $2.40
Line: Lightning -1.5 ($2.50), Penguins +1.5 ($1.59)
Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.95, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Lightning to win at $1.62. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Penguins to win at $2.40.

The Lightning are listed as 1.5-goal favourites against the Penguins, with odds of $2.50 currrently available at bet365.

For the underdog Penguins (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.59.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95, while bet365 currently has odds for the Under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.

More: Best Bets for Every NHL Game

Lightning vs Penguins Betting Tips

Head to Head: Penguins at $2.40 with PointsBet
Line: Penguins +1.5 at $1.59 with bet365 (63% probability)
Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.91 with PointsBet (51% probability)

These Lightning vs Penguins betting tips are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Penguins to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the PointsBet odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

Lightning vs Penguins Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh on Friday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Lightning vs Penguins Player Props

Searching for Lightning vs Penguins try scorers? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Nikita Kucherov is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Penguins.

Kucherov has a 7.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star has a 38.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

Nikita Kucherov: 7.4% probability
Brayden Point: 7.2% probability
Steven Stamkos: 6.9% probability
Brandon Hagel: 4.2% probability
Alex Killorn: 3.7% probability

Penguins First Goal Scorer Tips

Jake Guentzel: 5.9% probability
Sidney Crosby: 5.7% probability
Rickard Rakell: 5.1% probability
Evgeni Malkin: 4.9% probability
Bryan Rust: 3.9% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Nikita Kucherov: 38.9% probability
Steven Stamkos: 36.8% probability
Brayden Point: 36.6% probability
Brandon Hagel: 24.6% probability
Alex Killorn: 22.3% probability

Penguins Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Jake Guentzel: 32.4% probability
Sidney Crosby: 32.2% probability
Evgeni Malkin: 28.8% probability
Rickard Rakell: 28.7% probability
Bryan Rust: 24.4% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh game at Amalie Arena.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Lightning vs Penguins NHL 2023

The game between the Lightning and Penguins at Amalie Arena is scheduled to commence at 11:00am AEDT on Friday.

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Date: Friday 3 March 2023
Time: 11:00am AEDT
Venue: Amalie Arena

All dates and times mentioned in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

More About NHL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, tips for every NHL game, and futures odds for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.