Lightning vs Maple Leafs Prediction and NHL Tips - 22 October 2023
Last updated: Oct 21, 2023, 9:57PM | Published: Oct 21, 2023, 10:22AM
The Tampa Bay Lightning square off with the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Sunday, starting at 10:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Lightning vs Maple Leafs, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Lightning vs Maple Leafs
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Tampa Bay-Toronto NHL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Maple Leafs a 52% chance of beating the Lightning at Amalie Arena.
More: Lightning vs Maple Leafs Simulated 10,000 Times
Lightning vs Maple Leafs: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are listed here:
- Head to Head: Lightning $2.20, Maple Leafs $1.71
- Line: Lightning +1.5 ($1.50), Maple Leafs -1.5 ($2.70)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.62, Under $2.30
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Lightning at $2.20. Meanwhile, bet365 currently has the Maple Leafs at $1.71.
The Lightning are listed as 1.5-goal underdogs against the Maple Leafs, with odds of $1.50 currently on offer at bet365.
For the favourite Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $2.70.
The Over/Under for total goals scored has been set at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.62 and odds for the Under at $2.30.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Lightning vs Maple Leafs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $2.20 with PointsBet (2.2% edge)
- Line: Lightning +1.5 at $1.50 with bet365 (69% probability)
- Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.30 with PointsBet (5.2% edge) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
Today's Lightning vs Maple Leafs betting tips are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Maple Leafs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Lightning to win is our preferred option due to the 2.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 6.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.30) that are available from PointsBet.
Lightning vs Maple Leafs: Prediction
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Tampa Bay vs Toronto on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Lightning vs Maple Leafs: Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs Maple Leafs? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Maple Leafs.
Matthews has a 12.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 56.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 7.7% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 6.3% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 6.2% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 5.7% probability
- Nick Paul: 3.1% probability
Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 12.6% probability
- William Nylander: 6.6% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 5.9% probability
- John Tavares: 5.2% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 5.1% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 41.6% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 36.6% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 34.9% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 31.6% probability
- Nick Paul: 22.4% probability
Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 56.8% probability
- William Nylander: 37.4% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 34.0% probability
- John Tavares: 30.4% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 28.4% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Tampa Bay vs Toronto match-up at Amalie Arena.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Lightning vs Maple Leafs: Preview
The match-up between the Lightning and Maple Leafs at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Sunday 22 October 2023
- Time: 10:00am AEDT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Tampa Bay vs Toronto have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NHL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NHL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, predictions for every NHL game, and futures odds for the NHL.
