Lightning vs Maple Leafs Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 25 April 2023
Apr 23, 2023, 3:31AM
The Tampa Bay Lightning play the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Tuesday, commencing at 9:30am AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Lightning vs Maple Leafs, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured below.
Who will win? Lightning vs Maple Leafs
Based on high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Tuesday's Tampa Bay-Toronto NHL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model is unable to split the two teams, giving both the Lightning and the Maple Leafs an equal 50% chance of winning the game.
More: Lightning vs Maple Leafs Simulated 10K Times
Tampa Bay vs Toronto Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are listed below:
- Head to Head: Lightning $1.91, Maple Leafs $1.95
- Line: Lightning -1.5 ($3.20), Maple Leafs +1.5 ($1.36)
- Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.95, Under $1.87
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Lightning to win at $1.91. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Maple Leafs to win at $1.95.
The Lightning are listed as 1.5-goal favourites against the Maple Leafs, with odds of $3.20 currently available at PointsBet.
For the underdog Maple Leafs (+1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.36.
The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.87.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every NHL Game
Lightning vs Maple Leafs Best Bets
- Head to Head: Toronto at $1.95 with PointsBet (50% probability)
- Line: Lightning -1.5 at $3.20 with PointsBet
- Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.87 with PointsBet (53% probability)
Stats Insider's Lightning vs Maple Leafs predictions are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Although the Maple Leafs are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Lightning -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Lightning vs Maple Leafs NHL Prediction
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Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Tampa Bay vs Toronto on Tuesday, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live scores.
Lightning vs Maple Leafs Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs Maple Leafs? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Maple Leafs.
Matthews has a 10.0% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 47.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 8.1% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 6.8% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 6.2% probability
- Alex Killorn: 4.8% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 3.3% probability
Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 10.0% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 7.2% probability
- John Tavares: 5.5% probability
- William Nylander: 5.0% probability
- Ryan O'Reilly: 3.9% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Brayden Point: 37.8% probability
- Steven Stamkos: 35.8% probability
- Nikita Kucherov: 34.4% probability
- Alex Killorn: 26.6% probability
- Brandon Hagel: 19.6% probability
Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
- Auston Matthews: 47.2% probability
- Mitchell Marner: 35.6% probability
- John Tavares: 31.0% probability
- William Nylander: 29.7% probability
- Ryan O'Reilly: 22.4% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Tampa Bay vs Toronto game at Amalie Arena.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NHL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Lightning vs Maple Leafs NHL 2023
The match-up between the Lightning and Maple Leafs at Amalie Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:30am AEST on Tuesday.
- Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Tuesday 25 April 2023
- Time: 9:30am AEST
- Venue: Amalie Arena
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
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