Lightning vs Maple Leafs Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 12 April 2023

Apr 10, 2023, 4:21PM

The Tampa Bay Lightning play the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 9:00am AEST.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for Lightning vs Maple Leafs, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who will win? Lightning vs Maple Leafs

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Wednesday's Tampa Bay-Toronto NHL game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 60% chance of beating the Maple Leafs at Amalie Arena.

More: Free Betting Analysis for Lightning vs Maple Leafs

Tampa Bay vs Toronto Betting Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are shown here:

Head to Head: Lightning $1.44, Maple Leafs $2.90
Line: Lightning -1.5 ($2.20), Maple Leafs +1.5 ($1.71)
Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.95, Under $1.87

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Lightning to win at $1.44. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Maple Leafs to win at $2.90.

The Lightning are 1.5-goal favourites against the Maple Leafs, with odds of $2.20 currently on offer at PointsBet.

For the underdog Maple Leafs (+1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.71.

The Over/Under for Lightning vs Maple Leafs is set at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.87.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 53% chance of staying Under.

More: Best Bets Today for All Sports

Lightning vs Maple Leafs Best Bets

Head to Head: Toronto at $2.90 with PointsBet (5.8% edge) 🔥
Line: Maple Leafs +1.5 at $1.71 with PointsBet (62% probability)
Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $1.87 with PointsBet (53% probability)

Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across all sports.

Today's Lightning vs Maple Leafs betting tips are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Maple Leafs to win is our preferred option due to the 5.8% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Lightning vs Maple Leafs NHL Prediction

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Tampa Bay vs Toronto on Wednesday, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Lightning vs Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs Maple Leafs? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Toronto's William Nylander is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Maple Leafs.

Nylander has an 8.0% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Maple Leafs star has a 40.0% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

Brayden Point: 7.3% probability
Nikita Kucherov: 7.1% probability
Steven Stamkos: 7.0% probability
Alex Killorn: 4.8% probability
Brandon Hagel: 4.2% probability

Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips

William Nylander: 8.0% probability
John Tavares: 6.8% probability
Michael Bunting: 6.1% probability
Ryan O'Reilly: 5.0% probability
Calle Jarnkrok: 4.1% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Steven Stamkos: 38.5% probability
Nikita Kucherov: 38.0% probability
Brayden Point: 37.5% probability
Alex Killorn: 26.6% probability
Brandon Hagel: 21.5% probability

Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

William Nylander: 40.0% probability
John Tavares: 38.1% probability
Michael Bunting: 32.6% probability
Ryan O'Reilly: 28.8% probability
Calle Jarnkrok: 24.5% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Tampa Bay vs Toronto match-up at Amalie Arena.

As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NHL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Lightning vs Maple Leafs NHL 2023

The game between the Lightning and Maple Leafs at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00am AEST on Wednesday.

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Date: Wednesday 12 April 2023
Time: 9:00am AEST
Venue: Amalie Arena

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

More About NHL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, tips for every NHL game, and futures probabilities for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.