Lightning vs Capitals Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 31 March 2023

Mar 29, 2023, 9:06PM

The Tampa Bay Lightning take on the Washington Capitals in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Friday, commencing at 10:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for Lightning vs Capitals, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured below.

Who will win? Lightning vs Capitals

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Tampa Bay-Washington NHL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Lightning a 62% chance of winning against the Capitals at Amalie Arena.

More: Lightning vs Capitals Simulated 10K Times

Tampa Bay vs Washington Latest Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are shown below:

Head to Head: Lightning $1.49, Capitals $2.75
Line: Lightning -1.5 ($2.25), Capitals +1.5 ($1.69)
Total (Over/Under 6 Goals): Over $1.83, Under $2.00

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Lightning to win at $1.49. Meanwhile, bet365 currently has the Capitals to win at $2.75.

The Lightning are 1.5-goal favourites against the Capitals, with odds of $2.25 currently available at bet365.

For the underdog Capitals (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.69.

The Over/Under for Lightning vs Capitals sits at 6 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.83 and odds for the Under at $2.00.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6 goals has a 52% chance of going Over.

More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports

Lightning vs Capitals NHL Betting Tips

Head to Head: Washington at $2.75 with bet365 (1.9% edge)
Line: Capitals +1.5 at $1.69 with bet365 (61% probability)
Total Goals: Under 6 at $2.00 with bet365

Our Lightning vs Capitals betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7.

While the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Capitals to win is our preferred option because of the 1.9% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the bet365 odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 6 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.00) that are available from bet365.

Lightning vs Capitals Prediction

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Tampa Bay vs Washington on Friday, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live scores.

Lightning vs Capitals Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs Capitals? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Nikita Kucherov is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Capitals.

Kucherov has an 8.2% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star has a 39.6% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

Nikita Kucherov: 8.2% probability
Brayden Point: 8.0% probability
Steven Stamkos: 7.3% probability
Alex Killorn: 4.4% probability
Brandon Hagel: 4.2% probability

Capitals First Goal Scorer Tips

Alex Ovechkin: 7.3% probability
T.J. Oshie: 4.0% probability
Dylan Strome: 3.9% probability
Tom Wilson: 3.9% probability
Anthony Mantha: 3.4% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Brayden Point: 39.6% probability
Nikita Kucherov: 39.6% probability
Steven Stamkos: 36.4% probability
Alex Killorn: 23.6% probability
Brandon Hagel: 22.7% probability

Capitals Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Alex Ovechkin: 36.4% probability
Tom Wilson: 22.9% probability
T.J. Oshie: 21.8% probability
Dylan Strome: 21.6% probability
Evgeny Kuznetsov: 19.1% probability

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Tampa Bay vs Washington game at Amalie Arena.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Lightning vs Capitals NHL 2023

The match-up between the Lightning and Capitals at Amalie Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00am AEDT on Friday.

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals
Date: Friday 31 March 2023
Time: 10:00am AEDT
Venue: Amalie Arena

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.