Lightning vs Canadiens Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 19 March 2023

Mar 17, 2023, 9:09PM

The Tampa Bay Lightning take on the Montreal Canadiens in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Sunday, beginning at 10:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for Lightning vs Canadiens, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who will win? Lightning vs Canadiens

Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Tampa Bay-Montreal NHL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 69% chance of winning against the Canadiens at Amalie Arena.

More: Free Betting Guide for Lightning vs Canadiens

Tampa Bay vs Montreal Best Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NHL game at Amalie Arena are listed here:

Head to Head: Lightning $1.29, Canadiens $3.75
Line: Lightning -1.5 ($1.83), Canadiens +1.5 ($2.00)
Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.71, Under $2.20

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Lightning to win at $1.29. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Canadiens to win at $3.75.

The Lightning are 1.5-goal favourites against the Canadiens, with odds of $1.83 currently available at PointsBet.

For the underdog Canadiens (+1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $2.00.

The Over/Under for Lightning vs Canadiens sits at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.71, while bet365 currently has odds for the Under at $2.20.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Best Bets Today for All Sports

Lightning vs Canadiens Best Bets

Head to Head: Canadiens at $3.75 with PointsBet (3.1% edge)
Line: Canadiens +1.5 at $2.00 with PointsBet (52% probability)
Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.20 with bet365 (50% probability) 🔥

If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets of the day across all sports.

Our Lightning vs Canadiens betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.

While the Lightning have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Canadiens to win is our preferred option due to the 3.1% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the PointsBet odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.

Lightning vs Canadiens NHL Prediction

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Tampa Bay vs Montreal on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live updates.

Lightning vs Canadiens Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs Canadiens? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is the most likely player to score the first goal in Lightning vs Canadiens.

Point has an 8.7% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star has a 42.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning First Goal Scorer Tips

Brayden Point: 8.7% probability
Nikita Kucherov: 8.2% probability
Steven Stamkos: 7.8% probability
Alex Killorn: 4.9% probability
Brandon Hagel: 4.5% probability

Canadiens First Goal Scorer Tips

Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 5.2% probability
Nick Suzuki: 4.7% probability
Josh Anderson: 4.4% probability
Mike Hoffman: 3.8% probability
Denis Gurianov: 2.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Lightning Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Brayden Point: 42.6% probability
Nikita Kucherov: 42.3% probability
Steven Stamkos: 40.2% probability
Alex Killorn: 27.2% probability
Brandon Hagel: 25.0% probability

Canadiens Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Rafael Harvey-Pinard: 28.6% probability
Josh Anderson: 25.7% probability
Nick Suzuki: 24.8% probability
Mike Hoffman: 20.8% probability
Denis Gurianov: 17.4% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Tampa Bay vs Montreal match-up at Amalie Arena.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NHL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Lightning vs Canadiens NHL 2023

The game between the Lightning and Canadiens at Amalie Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00am AEDT on Sunday.

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens
Date: Sunday 19 March 2023
Time: 10:00am AEDT
Venue: Amalie Arena

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

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Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, predictions for every NHL game, and futures probabilities for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.