Knights vs Warriors Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 3, 2026
Last updated: Mar 18, 2026, 1:20PM | Published: Mar 15, 2026, 10:00PM
The Knights will sqaure off with the Warriors in NRL Round 3 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Saturday, starting at 3:00pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Knights vs Warriors game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Newcastle vs New Zealand NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors a 68% chance of defeating the Knights in Round 3 of the 2026 NRL season.
Knights vs Warriors: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Knights $2.55, Warriors $1.52
- Line: Knights +5.5 ($1.91), Warriors -5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $2.55 and the Warriors at $1.52.
The Knights are 5.5-point underdogs against the Warriors, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Warriors (-5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Warriors (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 50.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 60% of the time.
Knights vs Warriors: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Warriors at $1.52 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors -5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across any sport.
These Knights vs Warriors predictions are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Knights vs Warriors: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Warriors at McDonald Jones Stadium on Saturday is the Warriors winning 26-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Knights vs Warriors match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Warriors: Try Scorers
Searching for Knights vs Warriors try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Dallin Watene-Zelezniak is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs New Zealand.
Watene-Zelezniak has a 10.0% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 55.5% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.8% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 6.5% probability
- Bradman Best: 5.0% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 4.8% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 4.1% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 10.0% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 7.6% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 5.5% probability
- Adam Pompey: 5.0% probability
- Leka Halasima: 4.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 52.4% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 42.1% probability
- Bradman Best: 35.4% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 34.2% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 28.8% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 55.5% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 48.6% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 36.1% probability
- Leka Halasima: 33.9% probability
- Adam Pompey: 33.6% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Knights vs Warriors match.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Warriors: Essential Details
The NRL Round 3 clash between the Knights and Warriors at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:00pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Saturday 21 March 2026
- Kick-off: 3:00pm AEDT
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Warriors predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
More on the NRL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, and futures probabilities for the NRL.
