Knights vs Storm Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 19, 2025
Last updated: Jul 10, 2025, 7:00PM | Published: Jul 6, 2025, 11:49PM
The Knights will take on the favoured Storm in NRL Round 19 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 3:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Knights vs Storm game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Newcastle vs Melbourne NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Storm an 80% chance of winning against the Knights in Round 19 of the 2025 NRL season.
Knights vs Storm: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Knights $3.85, Storm $1.27
- Line: Knights +11.5 ($1.91), Storm -11.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $3.85 and the Storm at $1.27.
The Knights are listed as 11.5-point underdogs against the Storm, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Storm (-11.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Storm (-11.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 44.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Knights vs Storm: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.27 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -11.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.
Today's Knights vs Storm betting tips are based on world-class modelling and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Knights vs Storm: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Storm at McDonald Jones Stadium this Saturday is the Storm winning 29-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Knights vs Storm match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Storm: Try Scorers
Searching for Knights vs Storm try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Ryan Papenhuyzen is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Melbourne.
Papenhuyzen has a 9.5% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Storm star has a 51.3% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 7.8% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 5.1% probability
- Bradman Best: 5.0% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 3.6% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 3.4% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 9.5% probability
- Grant Anderson: 8.8% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 7.2% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 5.6% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 5.6% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 45.8% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 32.3% probability
- Bradman Best: 31.4% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 23.4% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 21.8% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 51.3% probability
- Grant Anderson: 49.6% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 42.4% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 36.6% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 34.0% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Knights vs Storm game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Storm: Essential Details
The NRL Round 19 clash between the Knights and Storm at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:00pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm
- Date: Saturday 12 July 2025
- Kick-off: 3:00pm AEST
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Storm predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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