Knights vs Roosters Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 21, 2026
Last updated: Jul 24, 2026, 7:55AM | Published: Jul 19, 2026, 11:05PM
The Knights will take on the favoured Roosters in NRL Round 21 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, with kick-off at 6:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Knights vs Roosters game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Newcastle vs Sydney NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Roosters a 79% chance of defeating the Knights at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Knights vs Roosters: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Knights $3.35, Roosters $1.30
- Line: Knights +8.5 ($1.91), Roosters -8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $3.35 and the Roosters at $1.30.
The Knights are 8.5-point underdogs against the Roosters, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Roosters (-8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Roosters (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Knights vs Roosters: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Roosters at $1.30 with Bet365
- Line: Roosters -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across all sports.
Today's Knights vs Roosters predictions are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Knights vs Roosters: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Roosters at McDonald Jones Stadium this Friday is the Roosters winning 28-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Knights vs Roosters match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Roosters: Try Scorers
Searching for Knights vs Roosters try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Roosters' Daniel Tupou is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Sydney.
Tupou has a 10.0% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Roosters star has a 54.3% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 7.1% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 6.5% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 4.6% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 4.1% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 3.9% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Daniel Tupou: 10.0% probability
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 9.8% probability
- James Tedesco: 5.9% probability
- Robert Toia: 5.2% probability
- Billy Smith: 4.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 41.8% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 40.1% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 30.0% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 27.8% probability
- Bradman Best: 26.5% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Daniel Tupou: 54.3% probability
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 52.5% probability
- James Tedesco: 35.7% probability
- Robert Toia: 33.4% probability
- Billy Smith: 32.9% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Knights vs Roosters match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Roosters: Essential Details
The NRL Round 21 clash between the Knights and Roosters at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters
- Date: Friday 24 July 2026
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Roosters predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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