Knights vs Raiders Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 5, 2026
Last updated: Apr 5, 2026, 6:05AM | Published: Mar 29, 2026, 9:55PM
The Knights will sqaure off with the Raiders in NRL Round 5 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Knights vs Raiders game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Newcastle vs Canberra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Raiders a 67% chance of defeating the Knights in Round 5 of the 2026 NRL season.
Knights vs Raiders: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Knights $2.25, Raiders $1.65
- Line: Knights +3.5 ($1.91), Raiders -3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $2.25 and the Raiders at $1.65.
The Knights are listed as 3.5-point underdogs against the Raiders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Raiders (-3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Raiders (-3.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 47.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Knights vs Raiders: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Raiders at $1.65 with Bet365
- Line: Raiders -3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 47.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Stats Insider's Knights vs Raiders best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Knights vs Raiders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Raiders at McDonald Jones Stadium this Sunday is the Raiders winning 26-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Knights vs Raiders match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Raiders: Try Scorers
Looking for Knights vs Raiders try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Dominic Young is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Canberra.
Young has a 9.3% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Knights star has a 52.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 9.3% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 6.0% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 5.0% probability
- Bradman Best: 4.6% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 4.2% probability
Canberra Raiders
- Xavier Savage: 7.7% probability
- Savelio Tamale: 6.4% probability
- Hudson Young: 5.5% probability
- Kaeo Weekes: 5.2% probability
- Ethan Strange: 4.7% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 52.1% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 39.8% probability
- Bradman Best: 31.8% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 31.2% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 28.1% probability
Canberra Raiders
- Xavier Savage: 45.2% probability
- Savelio Tamale: 39.5% probability
- Hudson Young: 36.3% probability
- Kaeo Weekes: 35.2% probability
- Ethan Strange: 31.4% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Knights vs Raiders match.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Raiders: Essential Details
The NRL Round 5 clash between the Knights and Raiders at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders
- Date: Sunday 5 April 2026
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Raiders predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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