Knights vs Raiders Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 5, 2026

The Knights will sqaure off with the Raiders in NRL Round 5 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:05pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Knights vs Raiders game, along with the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Newcastle vs Canberra NRL match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Raiders a 67% chance of beating the Knights in Round 5 of the 2026 NRL season.

Knights vs Raiders: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown here:

• Head to Head: Knights $2.35, Raiders $1.60
• Line: Knights +4.5 ($1.91), Raiders -4.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $2.35 and the Raiders at $1.60.

The Knights are 4.5-point underdogs against the Raiders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Raiders (-4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Raiders (-4.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.

Knights vs Raiders: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Raiders at $1.60 with Bet365
• Line: Raiders -4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Over 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.

These Knights vs Raiders betting tips are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

Knights vs Raiders: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Raiders at McDonald Jones Stadium this Sunday is the Raiders winning 26-19.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Knights vs Raiders match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.

Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Knights vs Raiders match.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Knights vs Raiders: Essential Details

The NRL Round 5 clash between the Knights and Raiders at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.

• Teams: Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders
• Date: Sunday 5 April 2026
• Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
• Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Knights vs Raiders predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

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