Knights vs Raiders Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 17, 2025
Last updated: Jun 27, 2025, 10:00AM | Published: Jun 24, 2025, 7:10AM
The Knights will face the favoured Raiders in NRL Round 17 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, with kick-off at 8:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Knights vs Raiders game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Newcastle vs Canberra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Raiders a 67% chance of beating the Knights at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Knights vs Raiders: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Knights $2.75, Raiders $1.47
- Line: Knights +5.5 ($1.91), Raiders -5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $2.75 and the Raiders at $1.47.
The Knights are 5.5-point underdogs against the Raiders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Raiders (-5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Raiders (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 43.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Knights vs Raiders: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Raiders at $1.47 with Bet365
- Line: Raiders -5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Knights vs Raiders betting tips are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Knights vs Raiders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Raiders at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday is the Raiders winning 24-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Knights vs Raiders match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Raiders: Try Scorers
Looking for Knights vs Raiders try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Raiders' Xavier Savage is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Canberra.
Savage has a 9.0% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Raiders star has a 47.9% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.7% probability
- James Schiller: 6.0% probability
- Bradman Best: 5.6% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 3.7% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 3.6% probability
Canberra Raiders
- Xavier Savage: 9.0% probability
- Jed Stuart: 7.3% probability
- Sebastian Kris: 6.6% probability
- Matthew Timoko: 4.6% probability
- Kaeo Weekes: 4.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 47.0% probability
- James Schiller: 37.5% probability
- Bradman Best: 33.3% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 23.9% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 22.7% probability
Canberra Raiders
- Xavier Savage: 47.9% probability
- Jed Stuart: 42.0% probability
- Sebastian Kris: 37.8% probability
- Matthew Timoko: 29.8% probability
- Kaeo Weekes: 26.2% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Knights vs Raiders match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Raiders: Essential Details
The NRL Round 17 clash between the Knights and Raiders at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders
- Date: Friday 27 June 2025
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEST
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Raiders predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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