Knights vs Rabbitohs Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 9, 2026
Last updated: May 3, 2026, 4:00AM | Published: Apr 26, 2026, 11:15PM
The Knights will sqaure off with the Rabbitohs in NRL Round 9 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 2:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Knights vs Rabbitohs game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Newcastle vs South Sydney NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Rabbitohs a 64% chance of winning against the Knights in Round 9 of the 2026 NRL season.
Knights vs Rabbitohs: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Knights $2.05, Rabbitohs $1.75
- Line: Knights +2.5 ($1.91), Rabbitohs -2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 52.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $2.05 and the Rabbitohs at $1.75.
The Knights are listed as 2.5-point underdogs against the Rabbitohs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Rabbitohs (-2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 52.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Rabbitohs (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 52.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 61% of the time.
Knights vs Rabbitohs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Souths at $1.75 with Bet365
- Line: Rabbitohs -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 52.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.
Today's Knights vs Rabbitohs best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Knights vs Rabbitohs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Rabbitohs at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday is the Rabbitohs winning 26-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Knights vs Souths match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Rabbitohs: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Knights vs Rabbitohs try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Rabbitohs' Alex Johnston is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs South Sydney.
Johnston has a 10.0% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Rabbitohs star has a 58.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 9.7% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 7.0% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 5.1% probability
- Bradman Best: 4.9% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 3.6% probability
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 10.0% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 7.9% probability
- Matthew Dufty: 5.5% probability
- Campbell Graham: 5.4% probability
- Jack Wighton: 3.7% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 55.4% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 44.0% probability
- Bradman Best: 34.9% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 34.5% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 28.5% probability
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 58.1% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 50.8% probability
- Campbell Graham: 38.9% probability
- Matthew Dufty: 36.2% probability
- Tallis Duncan: 27.8% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Knights vs Rabbitohs game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Rabbitohs: Essential Details
The NRL Round 9 clash between the Knights and Rabbitohs at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:00pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Date: Sunday 3 May 2026
- Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Souths predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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