Knights vs Panthers Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 23, 2025
Last updated: Aug 6, 2025, 6:22AM | Published: Aug 3, 2025, 11:15PM
The Knights will face the favoured Panthers in NRL Round 23 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, beginning at 6:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Knights vs Panthers game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Newcastle vs Penrith NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Panthers an 80% chance of defeating the Knights in Round 23 of the 2025 NRL season.
Knights vs Panthers: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Knights $3.75, Panthers $1.28
- Line: Knights +11.5 ($1.91), Panthers -11.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $3.75 and the Panthers at $1.28.
The Knights are 11.5-point underdogs against the Panthers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Panthers (-11.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Panthers (-11.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 43.5-point over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Knights vs Panthers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Panthers at $1.28 with Bet365
- Line: Panthers -11.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Knights vs Panthers predictions are based on market-leading simulations and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Knights vs Panthers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Panthers at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday is the Panthers winning 28-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Knights vs Panthers match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Panthers: Try Scorers
Looking for Knights vs Panthers try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Dominic Young is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Penrith.
Young has a 8.7% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Knights star has a 45.2% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.7% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 5.7% probability
- Bradman Best: 4.6% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 4.5% probability
- Dane Gagai: 3.9% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Thomas Jenkins: 8.3% probability
- Brian To'o: 7.8% probability
- Casey McLean: 6.5% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 6.2% probability
- Izack Tago: 5.4% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 45.2% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 33.6% probability
- Bradman Best: 30.5% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 27.8% probability
- Dane Gagai: 25.0% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Thomas Jenkins: 47.1% probability
- Brian To'o: 45.6% probability
- Casey McLean: 38.5% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 36.6% probability
- Izack Tago: 34.7% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Knights vs Panthers game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Panthers: Essential Details
The NRL Round 23 clash between the Knights and Panthers at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs Penrith Panthers
- Date: Friday 8 August 2025
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Panthers predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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