Knights vs Eels Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 11, 2025
Last updated: May 16, 2025, 8:00AM | Published: May 14, 2025, 9:57PM
The Knights will sqaure off with the Eels in NRL Round 11 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, with kick-off at 6:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Knights vs Eels game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Newcastle vs Parramatta NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Eels a 57% chance of defeating the Knights at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Knights vs Eels: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Knights $2.00, Eels $1.85
- Line: Knights +1.5 ($1.91), Eels -1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $2.00 and the Eels at $1.85.
The Knights are 1.5-point underdogs against the Eels, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Eels (-1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Eels (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 44.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Knights vs Eels: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Eels at $1.85 with Bet365
- Line: Eels -1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Knights vs Eels best bets are based on world-class modelling and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Knights vs Eels: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Eels at McDonald Jones Stadium this Friday is the Eels winning 23-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Knights vs Eels match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Eels: Try Scorers
Looking for Knights vs Eels try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Eels' Josh Addo-Carr is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Parramatta.
Addo-Carr has a 11.0% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Eels star has a 55.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- James Schiller: 8.1% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 6.7% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 5.3% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 4.5% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 4.1% probability
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 11.0% probability
- Zac Lomax: 6.9% probability
- Will Penisini: 5.2% probability
- Isaiah Iongi: 4.3% probability
- Dylan Brown: 3.7% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- James Schiller: 44.6% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 39.5% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 35.2% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 28.9% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 26.2% probability
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 55.4% probability
- Zac Lomax: 39.8% probability
- Will Penisini: 30.3% probability
- Isaiah Iongi: 28.1% probability
- Dylan Brown: 24.3% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Knights vs Eels match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Eels: Essential Details
The NRL Round 11 clash between the Knights and Eels at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels
- Date: Friday 16 May 2025
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Eels predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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