Knights vs Eels Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 11, 2025
Last updated: May 14, 2025, 9:55PM | Published: May 11, 2025, 10:55PM
The Knights will sqaure off with the Eels in NRL Round 11 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, commencing at 6:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Knights vs Eels game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Newcastle vs Parramatta NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Knights a 60% chance of winning against the Eels in Round 11 of the 2025 NRL season.
Knights vs Eels: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Knights $1.83, Eels $2.00
- Line: Knights -1.5 ($1.91), Eels +1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $1.83 and the Eels at $2.00.
The Knights are 1.5-point favourites against the Eels, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Eels (+1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Knights (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Knights vs Eels: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Knights at $1.83 with Bet365
- Line: Knights -1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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These Knights vs Eels predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice every time.
Knights vs Eels: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Eels at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday is the Knights winning 24-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Knights vs Eels match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Eels: Try Scorers
Looking for Knights vs Eels try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Eels' Josh Addo-Carr is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Parramatta.
Addo-Carr has a 9.9% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Eels star has a 52.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- James Schiller: 8.9% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 6.7% probability
- Bradman Best: 6.1% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 4.6% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 4.4% probability
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 9.9% probability
- Zac Lomax: 6.0% probability
- Will Penisini: 4.3% probability
- Isaiah Iongi: 4.2% probability
- Dylan Brown: 3.4% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- James Schiller: 48.0% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 43.1% probability
- Bradman Best: 38.5% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 31.4% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 28.8% probability
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 52.4% probability
- Zac Lomax: 37.8% probability
- Will Penisini: 29.8% probability
- Isaiah Iongi: 27.8% probability
- Dylan Brown: 23.1% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Knights vs Eels game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Eels: Essential Details
The NRL Round 11 clash between the Knights and Eels at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels
- Date: Friday 16 May 2025
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Eels predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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