Knights vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 16, 2026

The Knights will take on the Dragons in NRL Round 16 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, starting at 8:00pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Knights vs Dragons game, along with the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Newcastle vs St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Knights a 78% chance of defeating the Dragons in Round 16 of the 2026 NRL season.

Knights vs Dragons: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown below:

• Head to Head: Knights $1.28, Dragons $3.50
• Line: Knights -10.5 ($1.91), Dragons +10.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $1.28 and the Dragons at $3.50.

The Knights are 10.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Dragons (+10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Knights (-10.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 48.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.

Knights vs Dragons: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Knights at $1.28 with Bet365
• Line: Knights -10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Our Knights vs Dragons predictions are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

Knights vs Dragons: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Dragons at McDonald Jones Stadium this Friday is the Knights winning 29-17.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Knights vs St George match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Knights vs Dragons match.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Knights vs Dragons: Essential Details

The NRL Round 16 clash between the Knights and Dragons at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:00pm AEST on Friday.

• Teams: Newcastle Knights vs St George Illawarra Dragons
• Date: Friday 19 June 2026
• Kick-off: 8:00pm AEST
• Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Knights vs St George predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

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