Knights vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 16, 2026
Last updated: Jun 19, 2026, 10:00AM | Published: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05AM
The Knights will sqaure off with the Dragons in NRL Round 16 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday, commencing at 8:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Knights vs Dragons game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Newcastle vs St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Knights a 79% chance of defeating the Dragons in Round 16 of the 2026 NRL season.
Knights vs Dragons: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Knights $1.30, Dragons $3.60
- Line: Knights -12.5 ($1.91), Dragons +12.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $1.30 and the Dragons at $3.60.
The Knights are listed as 12.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dragons (+12.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+12.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 48.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Knights vs Dragons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Knights at $1.30 with Bet365
- Line: Dragons +12.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Knights vs Dragons betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Knights vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Dragons at McDonald Jones Stadium this Friday is the Knights winning 29-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Knights vs St George match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Searching for Knights vs Dragons try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Dominic Young is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs St George Illawarra.
Young has a 12.6% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Knights star has a 64.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 12.6% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 11.0% probability
- Bradman Best: 6.0% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 5.5% probability
- Dylan Brown: 4.2% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Setu Tu: 5.7% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 5.2% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 4.8% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 4.0% probability
- Jacob Liddle: 2.4% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 64.4% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 59.7% probability
- Bradman Best: 39.9% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 35.5% probability
- Dylan Brown: 29.4% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Setu Tu: 36.0% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 35.3% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 31.8% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 28.6% probability
- Jacob Liddle: 18.4% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Knights vs Dragons game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Dragons: Essential Details
The NRL Round 16 clash between the Knights and Dragons at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Friday 19 June 2026
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEST
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs St George predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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