Knights vs Dolphins Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 18, 2026
Last updated: Jul 5, 2026, 6:05AM | Published: Jun 29, 2026, 1:00AM
The Knights will face the Dolphins in NRL Round 18 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Knights vs Dolphins game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Newcastle vs Dolphins NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Dolphins a 67% chance of defeating the Knights at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Knights vs Dolphins: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Knights $1.91, Dolphins $1.87
- Line: Knights +1.5 ($1.91), Dolphins -1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $1.91 and the Dolphins at $1.87.
The Knights are 1.5-point underdogs against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Dolphins (-1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dolphins (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 64% of the time, while the 48.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Knights vs Dolphins: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Dolphins at $1.87 with Bet365
- Line: Dolphins -1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets for today across any sport.
These Knights vs Dolphins best bets are based on complex modelling and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Knights vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Dolphins at McDonald Jones Stadium this Sunday is the Dolphins winning 27-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Knights vs Dolphins match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Dolphins: Try Scorers
Looking for Knights vs Dolphins try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Dominic Young is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Dolphins.
Young has a 9.3% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Knights star has a 52.3% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 9.3% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 7.6% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 5.4% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 4.6% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 4.4% probability
Dolphins
- Jamayne Isaako: 8.0% probability
- Tevita Naufahu: 7.3% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 6.8% probability
- Jake Averillo: 6.2% probability
- Trai Fuller: 4.6% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 52.3% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 48.6% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 35.6% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 32.3% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 32.0% probability
Dolphins
- Jamayne Isaako: 48.0% probability
- Tevita Naufahu: 45.7% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 41.3% probability
- Jake Averillo: 38.8% probability
- Trai Fuller: 32.4% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Knights vs Dolphins game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Dolphins: Essential Details
The NRL Round 18 clash between the Knights and Dolphins at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins
- Date: Sunday 5 July 2026
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Dolphins predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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