Knights vs Cowboys Prediction and Tips - NRL Las Vegas, 2026
Last updated: Mar 1, 2026, 2:09AM | Published: Feb 26, 2026, 2:21PM
The Knights will sqaure off with the Cowboys in NRL Round 1 action at Allegiant Stadium in Vegas on Sunday, starting at 1:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Knights vs Cowboys game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Newcastle vs North Queensland NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Cowboys a 67% chance of winning against the Knights at Allegiant Stadium.
Knights vs Cowboys: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Allegiant Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Knights $2.18, Cowboys $1.72
- Line: Knights +2.5 ($1.91), Cowboys -2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $2.18 and the Cowboys at $1.72.
The Knights are 2.5-point underdogs against the Cowboys, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Cowboys (-2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cowboys (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 43.5-point over/under is expected to go over 57% of the time.
Knights vs Cowboys: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Cowboys at $1.72 with Bet365
- Line: Cowboys -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Knights vs Cowboys predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Knights vs Cowboys: NRL in Vegas Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Cowboys at Allegiant Stadium this Sunday is the Cowboys winning 25-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Knights vs Cowboys match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Cowboys: Try Scorers
Looking for Knights vs Cowboys try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Dominic Young is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs North Queensland.
Young has a 8.5% chance of scoring the first try at Allegiant Stadium, while the Knights star has a 44.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.5% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 6.6% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 4.8% probability
- Bradman Best: 4.8% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 3.8% probability
North Queensland Cowboys
- Murray Taulagi: 8.3% probability
- Braidon Burns: 8.0% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 6.4% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 5.9% probability
- Tom Dearden: 4.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 44.4% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 34.6% probability
- Bradman Best: 29.2% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 27.7% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 22.4% probability
North Queensland Cowboys
- Murray Taulagi: 43.3% probability
- Braidon Burns: 42.9% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 37.0% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 32.4% probability
- Tom Dearden: 28.9% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Knights vs Cowboys match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Cowboys: Essential Details
The NRL Round 1 clash between the Knights and Cowboys at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:15pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs North Queensland Cowboys
- Date: Sunday 1 March 2026
- Kick-off: 1:15pm AEDT
- Location: Allegiant Stadium, Vegas, USA
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Cowboys predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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