Knights vs Cowboys Prediction and Tips - NRL Las Vegas, 2026
Last updated: Feb 26, 2026, 6:09PM | Published: Feb 26, 2026, 2:21PM
The Knights will face the Cowboys in NRL Round 1 action at Allegiant Stadium in Vegas on Sunday, commencing at 1:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Knights vs Cowboys game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Newcastle vs North Queensland NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Cowboys a 67% chance of beating the Knights at Allegiant Stadium.
Knights vs Cowboys: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Allegiant Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Knights $2.40, Cowboys $1.58
- Line: Knights +4.5 ($1.91), Cowboys -4.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $2.40 and the Cowboys at $1.58.
The Knights are 4.5-point underdogs against the Cowboys, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Cowboys (-4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cowboys (-4.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 42.5-point over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Knights vs Cowboys: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Cowboys at $1.58 with Bet365
- Line: Cowboys -4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Knights vs Cowboys best bets are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Knights vs Cowboys: NRL in Vegas Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Cowboys at Allegiant Stadium this Sunday is the Cowboys winning 26-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Knights vs Cowboys match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Cowboys: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Knights vs Cowboys try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Dominic Young is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs North Queensland.
Young has a 8.5% chance of scoring the first try at Allegiant Stadium, while the Knights star has a 44.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.5% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 6.6% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 4.8% probability
- Bradman Best: 4.8% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 3.8% probability
North Queensland Cowboys
- Murray Taulagi: 8.3% probability
- Braidon Burns: 8.0% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 6.4% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 5.9% probability
- Tom Dearden: 4.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 44.4% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 34.6% probability
- Bradman Best: 29.2% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 27.7% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 22.4% probability
North Queensland Cowboys
- Murray Taulagi: 43.3% probability
- Braidon Burns: 42.9% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 37.0% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 32.4% probability
- Tom Dearden: 28.9% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Knights vs Cowboys match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Cowboys: Essential Details
The NRL Round 1 clash between the Knights and Cowboys at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:15pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs North Queensland Cowboys
- Date: Sunday 1 March 2026
- Kick-off: 1:15pm AEDT
- Location: Allegiant Stadium, Vegas, USA
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Cowboys predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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