Knights vs Broncos Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 25, 2025
Last updated: Aug 24, 2025, 4:00AM | Published: Aug 17, 2025, 11:00PM
The Knights will face the favoured Broncos in NRL Round 25 action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 2:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Knights vs Broncos game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Newcastle vs Brisbane NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Broncos an 80% chance of defeating the Knights in Round 25 of the 2025 NRL season.
Knights vs Broncos: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at McDonald Jones Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Knights $4.00, Broncos $1.25
- Line: Knights +12.5 ($1.91), Broncos -12.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Knights at $4.00 and the Broncos at $1.25.
The Knights are 12.5-point underdogs against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Broncos (-12.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Knights and the Broncos have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 46.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Knights vs Broncos: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Broncos at $1.25 with Bet365
- Line: Broncos -12.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Knights vs Broncos predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Knights vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Knights vs Broncos at McDonald Jones Stadium this Sunday is the Broncos winning 30-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Knights vs Broncos match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Knights vs Broncos: Try Scorers
Looking for Knights vs Broncos try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Broncos' Deine Mariner is the most likely player to score the first try in Newcastle vs Brisbane.
Mariner has a 10.5% chance of scoring the first try at McDonald Jones Stadium, while the Broncos star has a 55.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.1% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 5.4% probability
- Bradman Best: 4.9% probability
- James Schiller: 3.8% probability
- Dane Gagai: 3.7% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 10.5% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 8.2% probability
- Reece Walsh: 7.8% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 6.6% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 6.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 47.7% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 33.8% probability
- Bradman Best: 31.6% probability
- James Schiller: 26.2% probability
- Dane Gagai: 25.5% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 55.1% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 48.0% probability
- Reece Walsh: 45.8% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 39.7% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 37.2% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Knights vs Broncos match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Knights vs Broncos: Essential Details
The NRL Round 25 clash between the Knights and Broncos at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:00pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Sunday 24 August 2025
- Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST
- Location: McDonald Jones Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Knights vs Broncos predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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