Karolina Pliskova vs Madison Keys Prediction - Australian Open 2026
Last updated: Jan 23, 2026, 11:31PM | Published: Jan 22, 2026, 6:53AM
Karolina Pliskova will take on Madison Keys in the third round of the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026 on Saturday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Pliskova vs Keys match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Pliskova-Keys women's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives Keys an 82% chance of defeating Pliskova in the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026.
Pliskova vs Keys: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's Australian Open 2026 match between Pliskova and Keys are shown below:
- Head to Head: Pliskova $5.50, Keys $1.14
- First Set: Pliskova $4.00, Keys $1.25
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Pliskova at $5.50 and Keys at $1.14.
TAB currently has odds for Pliskova to win the first set at $4.00 and odds for Keys to win the first set at $1.25.
Pliskova vs Keys: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Pliskova at $5.50 with TAB
- First Set: Keys at $1.83 with TAB (51% probability)
Stats Insider's Karolina Pliskova vs Madison Keys best bets are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although our predictive analytics model indicates that Keys is more likely to win the match, taking Pliskova to win is the best option due to the edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Using the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.
And while Keys is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Keys ($1.83) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Pliskova vs Keys: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Karolina Pliskova vs Madison Keys match at the Australian Open 2026 tournament, including data-driven predictions and live in-play probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Pliskova-Keys match in the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Pliskova vs Keys: Australian Open 2026 Essential Details
The Australian Open 2026 match between Karolina Pliskova and Madison Keys is scheduled to commence at 10:30am AEDT.
- Match: Karolina Pliskova vs Madison Keys
- Date: Saturday 24 January 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:30am AEDT
- Event: Australian Open Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Third round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Karolina Pliskova vs Madison Keys predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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