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Juan Pablo Varillas vs Sebastian Baez Prediction - ATP Rio de Janeiro 2023

Juan Pablo Varillas plays Sebastian Baez in the round of 16 at the 2023 ATP Rio de Janeiro event on Friday.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for Varillas vs Baez, plus the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.

Who will win? Varillas vs Baez

Based on high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Varillas-Baez men's singles match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives Baez a 60% chance of defeating Varillas at the ATP Rio de Janeiro tournament.

More: Full Betting Analysis for Varillas vs Baez

Varillas vs Baez Best Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's ATP Rio de Janeiro match between Varillas and Baez are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Varillas $2.35, Baez $1.55
  • First Set: Varillas $2.20, Baez $1.62

Odds are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Varillas to win at $2.35 and Baez to win at $1.55.

According to Stats Insider's model, Baez has a 58% chance of winning the first set against Varillas.

TAB currently has odds for Varillas to win the first set at $2.20 and odds for Baez to win the first set at $1.62.

More: Best Bets for Every Tennis Match

Varillas vs Baez Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Varillas at $2.35 with TAB (0.4% edge)
  • First Set: Baez at $1.92 with TAB (0.5% edge)

Stats Insider's Juan Pablo Varillas vs Sebastian Baez expert tips are based on detailed modelling and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Even though our predictive analytics model indicates that Baez is more likely to win the match, betting on Varillas to win is our preferred option because of the edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.

Using the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable over the long run.

And while Baez is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Baez ($1.92) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.

Varillas vs Baez Tennis Best Bets

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Juan Pablo Varillas vs Sebastian Baez at the ATP Rio de Janeiro tournament, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live updates.

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Varillas-Baez match at the ATP Rio de Janeiro event.

As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips on every tennis match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Varillas vs Baez ATP Rio de Janeiro

The 2023 ATP Rio de Janeiro match between Juan Pablo Varillas and Sebastian Baez is scheduled to commence at 8:10am AEDT.

  • Match: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Sebastian Baez
  • Date: Friday 24 February 2023
  • Approx. Time: 8:10am AEDT
  • Event: ATP Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Men's Singles 2023
  • Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

More About Tennis

Stats Insider is your home for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, predictions for every tennis match, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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