Jordan Thompson vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction - ATP Japan Open 2025
Last updated: Sep 25, 2025, 5:54AM | Published: Sep 23, 2025, 12:55AM
Jordan Thompson will face Brandon Nakashima in the round of 32 at the 2025 ATP Japan Open tournament on Thursday.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Thompson vs Nakashima match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Thompson-Nakashima men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Nakashima a 63% chance of beating Thompson at the ATP Japan Open tournament.
Thompson vs Nakashima: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's ATP Japan Open match between Thompson and Nakashima are shown here:
- Head to Head: Thompson $2.75, Nakashima $1.46
- First Set: Thompson $0.00, Nakashima $0.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Thompson at $2.75 and Nakashima at $1.46.
currently has odds for Thompson to win the first set at $0.00 and odds for Nakashima to win the first set at $0.00.
Thompson vs Nakashima: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Thompson at $2.75 with TAB
- First Set: Nakashima at $1.30 with TAB (74% probability)
These Jordan Thompson vs Brandon Nakashima best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Although our predictive analytics model indicates that Nakashima is more likely to win the match, betting on Thompson to win is our preferred option because of the 1.1% edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.
And while Nakashima is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Nakashima ($1.30) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Thompson vs Nakashima: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Jordan Thompson vs Brandon Nakashima match at the ATP Japan Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Thompson-Nakashima match at the ATP Japan Open event.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Thompson vs Nakashima: ATP Japan Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Japan Open match between Jordan Thompson and Brandon Nakashima is scheduled to start at 3:50pm AEST.
- Match: Jordan Thompson vs Brandon Nakashima
- Date: Thursday 25 September 2025
- Approx. Time: 3:50pm AEST
- Event: ATP Tokyo, Japan Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Jordan Thompson vs Brandon Nakashima predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on Tennis
Stats Insider is your home for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, predictions for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

