Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys Prediction - Australian Open 2026
Last updated: Jan 25, 2026, 1:01AM | Published: Jan 24, 2026, 6:01AM
Jessica Pegula will sqaure off with Madison Keys in the fourth round of the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026 on Monday.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Pegula vs Keys match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Pegula-Keys women's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives Pegula a 57% chance of defeating Keys in the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026.
Pegula vs Keys: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's Australian Open 2026 match between Pegula and Keys are listed here:
- Head to Head: Pegula $1.61, Keys $2.30
- First Set: Pegula $1.66, Keys $2.20
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Pegula at $1.61 and Keys at $2.30.
TAB currently has odds for Pegula to win the first set at $1.66 and odds for Keys to win the first set at $2.20.
Pegula vs Keys: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Keys at $2.30 with TAB
- First Set: Keys at $1.83 with TAB (54% probability)
Today's Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys best bets are based on world-class modelling and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Pegula is more likely to win the match, betting on Keys to win is the best option because of the edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Using the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
And while Pegula is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Keys ($1.83) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Pegula vs Keys: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys match at the Australian Open 2026 tournament, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Pegula-Keys match in the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Pegula vs Keys: Australian Open 2026 Essential Details
The Australian Open 2026 match between Jessica Pegula and Madison Keys is scheduled to commence at 10:00am AEDT.
- Match: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys
- Date: Monday 26 January 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:00am AEDT
- Event: Australian Open Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Fourth round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on Tennis
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, tips for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

