Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul Prediction - ATP Italian Open 2025
Last updated: May 16, 2025, 6:30PM | Published: May 15, 2025, 11:02PM
Jannik Sinner will take on Tommy Paul in the semi-finals at the 2025 ATP Italian Open tournament on Saturday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Sinner vs Paul match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Sinner-Paul men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives Sinner a 77% chance of beating Paul at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Sinner vs Paul: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's ATP Italian Open match between Sinner and Paul are listed here:
- Head to Head: Sinner $1.10, Paul $7.00
- First Set: Sinner $1.16, Paul $5.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Sinner at $1.10 and Paul at $7.00.
TAB currently has odds for Sinner to win the first set at $1.16 and odds for Paul to win the first set at $5.00.
Sinner vs Paul: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Paul at $7.00 with TAB
- First Set: Paul at $2.00 with TAB (51% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
Today's Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that Sinner is more likely to win the match, betting on Paul to win is the best option due to the 9.8% edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.
And while Sinner is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Paul ($2.00) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Sinner vs Paul: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul match at the ATP Italian Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and free tips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Sinner-Paul match at the ATP Italian Open event.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Sinner vs Paul: ATP Italian Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Italian Open match between Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul is scheduled to commence at 4:30am AEST.
- Match: Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul
- Date: Saturday 17 May 2025
- Approx. Time: 4:30am AEST
- Event: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Semi-finals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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